← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2025-09-28 · #35
MLS · 2025-09-28 · 11:30 KST
Portland Timbers
(ํฌํ‹€๋žœ๋“œ)
vs
FC Dallas
(๋Œˆ๋Ÿฌ์Šค)
2
:
2
โš  ์˜ˆ์ธก : ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 49%
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (3๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ 9๊ฐ€์ง€ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 3๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์—์„œ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ‰๊ท  60% ์ด์ƒ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์ ์ค‘ํ•œ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ตœ๊ทผํผ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ๋ฆ„๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ํŒ€์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ FC Dallas ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 14.2%p
  • โš” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ์šฐ์„ธ ํŒ€๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆผ โ†’ FC Dallas ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 14.3%p
  • โšฝ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-BTTS ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์–‘ํŒ€ ๋“์  ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ 1X2 ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค โ†’ FC Dallas ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 10.5%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋งŽ์„์ˆ˜๋ก "์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ" ํฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ALPHA ๋ฐฑํ…Œ์ŠคํŠธ์ƒ 4๊ฐœ+ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  60.24%
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ AI ์—”์ง„ ๋…๋ฆฝ ๋ถ„์„ โ€” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค (๋ชจ๋‘ ํ•ฉ์˜ ์‹œ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ)
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ (ML AI)
๐ŸŽฏ D
48.9%
H 23.7% ยท D 48.9% ยท A 27.4%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค (DL AI)
๐Ÿ›ก X2
76.3%
1X 72.6% ยท X2 76.3% ยท 12 51.1%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„ (OU AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก (HL AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์  (BTTS AI)
๐ŸŽฏ YES
66.3%
YES 66.3% ยท NO 33.7% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 1.4 / N 2.75
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
โ€”
WINDRAWWIN
โ€”
Prosoccer
โ€”
Forebet
โ€”
โญ Predictor
โ€”
MLS #35 Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas 2:2
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 49%
โญ ๋ฌด/์›์ • (X2) 76%
4/10
TRUST
23์œ„ (7์œ„)
์ˆœ์œ„ (์ „์ฒด/๊ทธ๋ฃน)
43
์Šน์ 
6.91
Rating
(MLS)
VS
13์œ„ (9์œ„)
์ˆœ์œ„ (์ „์ฒด/๊ทธ๋ฃน)
37
์Šน์ 
6.89
Rating
(MLS)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น(๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ณ€๋™ 2ํšŒ)
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.71 4.10 4.20
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.71 3.80 4.33
๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ ํˆฌํ‘œ์œจํ™ˆ 64%๋ฌด 15%์›์ • 21%ํ‘œ๋ณธ 4,616
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.01 96% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 23 4%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.1 86% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 7 14%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 1.36 70% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 3.1 30%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.83 50% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.83 50%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 3.25 29% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.33 71%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 5.5 17% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.14 83%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 11 9% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1.05 91%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 7.5 21 5% ์–ธ๋” 7.5 1.02 95%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 8.5 41 2% ์–ธ๋” 8.5 1 98%
MLS โ€” Group Combined ์ˆœ์œ„ํ‘œ
๋ผ์šด๋“œ ์‹œ์ž‘ ์ „ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ์ˆœ์œ„
# ํŒ€ ์Šน์  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์Šน ๋ฌด ํŒจ ๋“์  ์‹ค์  ๋“์‹ค
1 Nashville SC 30 13 9 3 1 29 10 +19
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 29 13 9 2 2 30 10 +20
3 San Jose Earthquakes 29 14 9 2 3 31 14 +17
4 Inter Miami CF 28 14 8 4 2 33 24 +9
5 Real Salt Lake 25 13 8 1 4 25 18 +7
6 New England Revolution 25 13 8 1 4 22 17 +5
7 Seattle Sounders 24 12 7 3 2 17 10 +7
8 Chicago Fire 23 13 7 2 4 25 15 +10
9 FC Dallas 22 14 6 4 4 28 21 +7
10 Houston Dynamo 21 13 7 0 6 18 22 -4
11 Los Angeles FC 21 14 6 3 5 23 17 +6
12 Minnesota United 21 14 6 3 5 17 21 -4
13 New York City FC 19 14 5 4 5 24 19 +5
14 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 14 5 4 5 21 21 0
15 New York Red Bulls 19 14 5 4 5 23 31 -8
16 Charlotte FC 18 14 5 3 6 23 23 0
17 San Diego 17 14 4 5 5 28 23 +5
18 DC United 17 14 4 5 5 17 21 -4
19 FC Cincinnati 17 14 4 5 5 30 35 -5
20 Colorado Rapids 16 14 5 1 8 24 22 +2
21 Portland Timbers 14 13 4 2 7 21 25 -4
22 Orlando City SC 14 14 4 2 8 21 38 -17
23 Toronto FC 14 13 3 5 5 21 27 -6
24 Austin FC 14 14 3 5 6 19 28 -9
25 Montreal Impact 13 13 4 1 8 18 27 -9
26 Columbus Crew 13 14 3 4 7 19 23 -4
27 Saint Louis City 13 13 3 4 6 13 20 -7
28 Atlanta United 11 13 3 2 8 14 21 -7
29 Sporting Kansas City 11 13 3 2 8 13 34 -21
30 Philadelphia Union 7 14 1 4 9 14 24 -10
Supporters Shield ํ›„๋ณดRound 1 ์ž๋™ ์ง„์ถœWild Card
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
๐Ÿ  Portland Timbers
1
์Šน
3
๋ฌด
1
ํŒจ
20%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 80% ๋“ 13 / ์‹ค 21
โœˆ๏ธ FC Dallas
2
์Šน
3
๋ฌด
0
ํŒจ
40%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 100% ๋“ 17 / ์‹ค 13
H Portland Timbers
LWLWLDLLLW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
L 05.03 MLS (6์œ„) Real Salt Lake 2 : 0 Portland Timbers (12์œ„)
W 04.26 MLS (10์œ„) San Diego FC 1 : 2 Portland Timbers (12์œ„)
L 04.19 MLS (9์œ„) Minnesota United 2 : 0 Portland Timbers (11์œ„)
W 04.12 MLS (23์œ„) Portland Timbers 2 : 1 Los Angeles FC (4์œ„)
L 04.05 MLS Vancouver Whitecaps 3 : 2 Portland Timbers
D 03.23 MLS Portland Timbers 1 : 1 LA Galaxy
L 03.15 MLS Houston Dynamo 3 : 2 Portland Timbers
L 03.08 MLS Portland Timbers 1 : 4 Vancouver Whitecaps
L 03.01 MLS Colorado Rapids 2 : 0 Portland Timbers
W 02.22 MLS (23์œ„) Portland Timbers 3 : 2 Columbus Crew (17์œ„)
A FC Dallas
WLLDDWWDLD
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
W 05.03 MLS (11์œ„) New York Red Bulls 0 : 2 FC Dallas (8์œ„)
L 04.26 MLS (5์œ„) Seattle Sounders FC 2 : 1 FC Dallas (8์œ„)
L 04.23 MLS (7์œ„) FC Dallas 0 : 1 Minnesota United (6์œ„)
D 04.19 MLS (7์œ„) FC Dallas 2 : 2 LA Galaxy (10์œ„)
D 04.12 MLS (13์œ„) FC Dallas 1 : 1 St.Louis City
W 04.05 MLS DC United 0 : 4 FC Dallas
W 03.22 MLS FC Dallas 4 : 3 Houston Dynamo
D 03.15 MLS FC Dallas 3 : 3 San Diego FC
L 03.08 MLS Los Angeles FC 1 : 0 FC Dallas
D 03.01 MLS FC Dallas 0 : 0 Nashville SC
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ตœ๊ทผ 10๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
2
Portland Timbers
4
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€
4
FC Dallas
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋ณดํ†ต (49%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ๋ฌด/์›์ • (X2) 76%
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ โ€” Portland Timbers (4-2-3-1)
G James Pantemis
D Juan Mosquera
D Finn Surman
D Dario ลฝupariฤ‡
D Kamal Miller
M Matรญas Rojas
M David Ayala
M Antony Alves
M David Pereira Da Costa
M Kristoffer Velde
F Felipe Mora
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Maxime Crรฉpeau โ†ฉ
D Ian Smith โ†ฉ
D Eric Miller โ†ฉ
M Cristhian Paredes โ†ฉ
M Jรญmer Fory โ†ฉ
M Diego Charรก โ†ฉ
F Omir Fernandez โ†ฉ
F Kevin Kelsy โ†ฉ
F Ariel Lassiter โ†ฉ
์›์ • โ€” FC Dallas (3-5-1-1)
G Jacob Jackson
D Sebastien Ibeagha
D Osaze Urhoghide
D Shaq Moore
M Ramiro
M Kaick
M Christian Cappis
M Patrickson Delgado
M Bernard Kamungo
F Logan Farrington
F Petar Musa
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Michael Collodi โ†ฉ
D Lalas Abubakar โ†ฉ
D Alvaro Augusto โ†ฉ
D Joshua Torquato โ†ฉ
M Pedrinho โ†ฉ
M Diego Garcรญa โ†ฉ
F Anderson Julio โ†ฉ
F Louicius Don Deedson โ†ฉ
F Enes Sali โ†ฉ
์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš 
๋ฌด/์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ 
๋น„์Šทํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ค‘ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 4๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(50%) + ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 1๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(12%)๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์— ๊ทธ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋ฒ ํŒ…ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค ์›์ •ํŒ€ / ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ / ํ•ธ๋””์บก๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜์„ธ์š”.
์ด 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ 3 (38%) ๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 4 (50%) โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 1 (12%)
2025-05-04 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.67 / 3.60 / 5.25
Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo 2:0
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 40%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 87%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2025-05-11 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.80 / 4.00 / 4.00
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes 0:2
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 70%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 33%
2025-05-15 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.95 / 3.90 / 3.50
St.Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City 2:2
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 40%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2025-05-18 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.95 / 3.70 / 3.60
Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati 1:1
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 33%
2025-05-29 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.00 / 3.70 / 3.60
Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC 2:2
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2025-05-29 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.80 / 3.80 / 4.20
Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake 1:1
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 80%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 70%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2025-06-26 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.00 / 3.60 / 3.60
Colorado Rapids vs LA Galaxy 2:0
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2025-06-29 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.00 / 4.00 / 3.25
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC 3:2
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 40%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 25%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 83%