← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2025-06-09 · #4
MLS · 2025-06-09 · 08:00 KST
Portland Timbers
(ํฌํ‹€๋žœ๋“œ)
vs
St.Louis City
(์„ธ์ธํŠธ๋ฃจ์ด์Šค)
2
:
1
์˜ˆ์ธก : ์›์ •์Šน 42%
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (4๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ 9๊ฐ€์ง€ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 4๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์—์„œ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ‰๊ท  60% ์ด์ƒ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์ ์ค‘ํ•œ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ํ˜ผ๋ž€
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3๊ด€์ (ํ™ˆ/๋ฌด/์›์ •)์ด ์„œ๋กœ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 6.4%p
  • โš” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ์šฐ์„ธ ํŒ€๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆผ โ†’ St.Louis City ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 20.8%p
  • โญ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-๋ ˆ์ดํŒ… ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์˜ค๋Š˜ ์ปจ๋””์…˜(๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…)๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ โ†’ St.Louis City ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 10.7%p
  • โšฝ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-BTTS ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์–‘ํŒ€ ๋“์  ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ 1X2 ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค โ†’ St.Louis City ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 14.4%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋งŽ์„์ˆ˜๋ก "์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ" ํฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ALPHA ๋ฐฑํ…Œ์ŠคํŠธ์ƒ 4๊ฐœ+ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  60.24%
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ AI ์—”์ง„ ๋…๋ฆฝ ๋ถ„์„ โ€” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค (๋ชจ๋‘ ํ•ฉ์˜ ์‹œ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ)
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ (ALPHA2)
๐ŸŽฏ A
42.4%
H 33.8% ยท D 23.8% ยท A 42.4%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค (DL AI)
๐Ÿ›ก 12
76.2%
1X 57.6% ยท X2 66.2% ยท 12 76.2%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„ (OU AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก (HL AI)
๐Ÿ“ away
53.3%
ํ™ˆ 46.7% ยท ์›์ • 53.3% ยท ๋ผ์ธ -1 ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น H 2.02 / A 1.77
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์  (BTTS AI)
๐ŸŽฏ YES
60.9%
YES 60.9% ยท NO 39.1% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 1.53 / N 2.38
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
โ€”
WINDRAWWIN
โ€”
Prosoccer
โ€”
Forebet
โ€”
โญ Predictor
โ€”
MLS #4 Portland Timbers vs St.Louis City 2:1
์›์ •์Šน 42%
โญ ํ™ˆ์Šน/์›์ • (12) 76%
์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” -1
4/10
TRUST
19์œ„ (4์œ„)
์ˆœ์œ„ (์ „์ฒด/๊ทธ๋ฃน)
26
์Šน์ 
6.93
Rating
(MLS)
VS
13์œ„ (14์œ„)
์ˆœ์œ„ (์ „์ฒด/๊ทธ๋ฃน)
14
์Šน์ 
6.84
Rating
(MLS)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น(๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ณ€๋™ 2ํšŒ)
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.65 4.20 5.00
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.70 3.75 4.50
๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ ํˆฌํ‘œ์œจํ™ˆ 79%๋ฌด 11%์›์ • 11%ํ‘œ๋ณธ 15,148
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.02 95% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 19 5%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.14 83% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 5.5 17%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 1.5 62% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 2.5 38%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 2.2 42% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.62 58%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 3.75 25% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.25 75%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 7 14% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.1 86%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 15 6% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1.03 94%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 7.5 26 4% ์–ธ๋” 7.5 1.01 96%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 8.5 51 2% ์–ธ๋” 8.5 1 98%
MLS โ€” Group Combined ์ˆœ์œ„ํ‘œ
๋ผ์šด๋“œ ์‹œ์ž‘ ์ „ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ์ˆœ์œ„
# ํŒ€ ์Šน์  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์Šน ๋ฌด ํŒจ ๋“์  ์‹ค์  ๋“์‹ค
1 Nashville SC (๋‚ด์Šˆ๋นŒ) 39 17 12 3 2 33 12 +21
2 Inter Miami CF (๋งˆ์ด์• ๋ฏธ) 37 17 11 4 2 43 30 +13
3 Vancouver Whitecaps (๋ฐด์ฟ ๋ฒ„) 33 16 10 3 3 37 16 +21
4 Los Angeles FC (LAFC) 33 18 10 3 5 34 18 +16
5 San Jose Earthquakes (์‚ฐํ˜ธ์„ธ) 33 17 10 3 4 35 20 +15
6 New England Revolution (๋‰ด์ž‰๊ธ€๋žœ๋“œ) 29 16 9 2 5 26 19 +7
7 Chicago Fire (์‹œ์นด๊ณ ํŒŒ์ด์–ด) 26 16 8 2 6 30 22 +8
8 Real Salt Lake (์†”ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ดํฌ) 26 16 8 2 6 28 24 +4
9 Houston Dynamo (ํœด์Šคํ„ด) 26 16 8 2 6 23 24 -1
10 FC Dallas (๋Œˆ๋Ÿฌ์Šค) 26 17 7 5 5 32 25 +7
11 New York City FC (๋‰ด์š•์‹œํ‹ฐ) 25 17 7 4 6 30 23 +7
12 Charlotte FC (์ƒฌ๋Ÿฟ) 25 17 7 4 6 28 25 +3
13 Saint Louis City (์„ธ์ธํŠธ๋ฃจ์ด์Šค) 25 17 7 4 6 23 23 0
14 Seattle Sounders (์‹œ์• ํ‹€) 24 16 7 3 6 19 20 -1
15 FC Cincinnati (์‹ ์‹œ๋‚ดํ‹ฐ) 23 17 6 5 6 41 42 -1
16 Minnesota United (๋ฏธ๋„ค์†Œํƒ€) 23 17 6 5 6 19 24 -5
17 New York Red Bulls (๋‰ด์š•๋ ˆ๋“œ๋ถˆ) 22 17 6 4 7 26 37 -11
18 DC United (DC์œ ๋‚˜์ดํ‹ฐ๋“œ) 22 17 5 7 5 24 27 -3
19 Portland Timbers (ํฌํ‹€๋žœ๋“œ) 21 17 6 3 8 31 32 -1
20 Los Angeles Galaxy (LA๊ฐค๋Ÿญ์‹œ) 21 18 5 6 7 24 29 -5
21 Orlando City SC (์˜ฌ๋žœ๋„) 20 17 6 2 9 28 44 -16
22 San Diego (์ƒŒ๋””์—์ด๊ณ ) 20 17 5 5 7 31 28 +3
23 Colorado Rapids (์ฝœ๋กœ๋ผ๋„) 19 17 6 1 10 26 25 +1
24 Columbus Crew (์ฝœ๋Ÿผ๋ฒ„์Šค) 19 17 5 4 8 24 26 -2
25 Austin FC (์˜ค์Šคํ‹ด) 17 17 4 5 8 22 35 -13
26 Toronto FC (ํ† ๋ก ํ† ) 16 17 3 7 7 23 31 -8
27 Montreal Impact (๋ชฌํŠธ๋ฆฌ์˜ฌ) 15 17 4 3 10 22 33 -11
28 Sporting Kansas City (์บ”์ž์Šค์‹œํ‹ฐ) 14 17 4 2 11 18 44 -26
29 Philadelphia Union (ํ•„๋ผ๋ธํ”ผ์•„) 13 17 3 4 10 22 31 -9
30 Atlanta United (์• ํ‹€๋ž€ํƒ€) 12 17 3 3 11 17 30 -13
Supporters Shield ํ›„๋ณดRound 1 ์ž๋™ ์ง„์ถœWild Card
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
Portland Timbers ํ™ˆ ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
2
์Šน
0
๋ฌด
3
ํŒจ
40%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 40% ๋“ 6 / ์‹ค 9
St.Louis City ์›์ • ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
2
์Šน
0
๋ฌด
3
ํŒจ
40%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 40% ๋“ 9 / ์‹ค 10
H Portland Timbers
LWLWLDLLLW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
L 05.03 MLS (6์œ„) Real Salt Lake 2 : 0 Portland Timbers (12์œ„)
W 04.26 MLS (10์œ„) San Diego FC 1 : 2 Portland Timbers (12์œ„)
L 04.19 MLS (9์œ„) Minnesota United 2 : 0 Portland Timbers (11์œ„)
W 04.12 MLS (23์œ„) Portland Timbers 2 : 1 Los Angeles FC (4์œ„)
L 04.05 MLS Vancouver Whitecaps 3 : 2 Portland Timbers
D 03.23 MLS Portland Timbers 1 : 1 LA Galaxy
L 03.15 MLS Houston Dynamo 3 : 2 Portland Timbers
L 03.08 MLS Portland Timbers 1 : 4 Vancouver Whitecaps
L 03.01 MLS Colorado Rapids 2 : 0 Portland Timbers
W 02.22 MLS (23์œ„) Portland Timbers 3 : 2 Columbus Crew (17์œ„)
A St.Louis City
LWLLWDDWLL
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
L 05.04 MLS (13์œ„) Austin FC 2 : 0 St.Louis City (14์œ„)
W 04.30 US Open Cup Chicago Fire 1 : 2 St.Louis City
L 04.26 MLS (14์œ„) St.Louis City 2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes (1์œ„)
L 04.19 MLS (5์œ„) Seattle Sounders FC 4 : 1 St.Louis City (14์œ„)
W 04.16 US Open Cup St.Louis City 4 : 0 FC Tulsa
D 04.12 MLS (13์œ„) FC Dallas 1 : 1 St.Louis City
D 04.05 MLS New York City FC 1 : 1 St.Louis City
W 03.22 MLS St.Louis City 3 : 1 New England Revolution
L 03.15 MLS Los Angeles FC 2 : 0 St.Louis City
L 03.08 MLS St.Louis City 0 : 1 Seattle Sounders FC
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ตœ๊ทผ 7๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
2
Portland Timbers
29%
2
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€
29%
3
St.Louis City
43%
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
์›์ •์Šน ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋ณดํ†ต (42%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ํ™ˆ์Šน/์›์ • (12) 76%
ํ•ธ๋””์บก: ์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” -1
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ โ€” Portland Timbers (4-2-3-1)
G James Pantemis
D Juan Mosquera
D Dario ลฝupariฤ‡
D Kamal Miller
D Jรญmer Fory
M Joao Ortรญz
M David Ayala
M Santiago Moreno
M David Pereira Da Costa
M Antony Alves
F Kevin Kelsy
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Trey Muse โ†ฉ
D Eric Miller โ†ฉ
D Claudio Bravo โ†ฉ
D Ian Smith โ†ฉ
M Cristhian Paredes โ†ฉ
M Diego Charรก โ†ฉ
F Felipe Mora โ†ฉ
F Omir Fernandez โ†ฉ
์›์ • โ€” St.Louis City (4-2-3-1)
G Roman Bรผrki
D Tomas Totland
D Henry Kessler
D Timo Baumgartl
D Jayden Reid
M Akil Watts
M Alfredo Morales
M Simon Becher
M Marcel Hartel
M Celio Pompeu
F Joรฃo Klauss
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Benjamin Lundt โ†ฉ
D Joseph Zalinsky โ†ฉ
D Jaziel Orozco โ†ฉ
D Kyle Hiebert โ†ฉ
D Joshua Yaro โ†ฉ
M Jake Girdwood-Reich โ†ฉ
M Tomรกลก Ostrรกk โ†ฉ
F Brendan McSorley โ†ฉ
F Xande Silva โ†ฉ
์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš 
๋ฌด/์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ 
๋น„์Šทํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ค‘ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 4๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(50%) + ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(25%)๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์— ๊ทธ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋ฒ ํŒ…ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค ์›์ •ํŒ€ / ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ / ํ•ธ๋””์บก๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜์„ธ์š”.
์ด 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ 2 (25%) ๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 4 (50%) โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2 (25%)
2025-05-04 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.73 / 3.80 / 4.75
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake 2:1
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 80%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 73%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 19%
2025-05-11 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.85 / 3.70 / 4.10
New York City FC vs CF Montrรฉal 0:1
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 33%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 19%
2025-05-12 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.91 / 3.80 / 3.70
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC 2:2
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 13%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 86%
2025-05-25 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.83 / 3.70 / 4.20
Minnesota United vs Austin FC 1:1
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 25%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 40%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 81%
2025-05-29 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.57 / 4.10 / 5.50
FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas 3:3
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 80%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 73%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 52%
2025-05-29 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.40 / 5.50 / 6.25
Inter Miami CF vs CF Montrรฉal 4:2
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 17%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 86%
2025-06-01 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.91 / 3.60 / 4.00
Nashville SC vs New York City FC 2:2
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 13%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 52%
2025-06-01 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.45 / 4.50 / 7.00
FC Cincinnati vs DC United 1:2
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 80%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 33%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 52%