← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2026-08-21 · #44
UEL · 2026-08-21 · 02:00 KST
Lech Poznaล„
(๋ ˆํํฌ์ฆˆ๋‚œ)
Poland
vs
FC Thun
(ํˆฐ)
Switzerland
7
:
0
๋ณผ๋ ˆ๋งˆ๋ฅดํฌ 10' โšฝ
์‚ฌ์•ผ๋“œ๋งˆ๋„ค์‹œ 20' โšฝ
๋ณผ๋ ˆ๋งˆ๋ฅดํฌ 25' โšฝ
์Šคํฌ์‹œํ”„์ฐจํฌ 31' โšฝ
๋ฌด๋ผํ”„์Šคํ‚ค 45' โšฝ
ํ˜ธ์นธ์Šค 47' โšฝ
๊ตผ๋‹ˆ 79' โšฝ
์˜ˆ์ธก : ํ™ˆ์Šน 55%
์œ ๋ ฅํ•จ
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ™œ์„ฑ ์‹ ํ˜ธ 5๊ฐœ ๋ˆŒ๋Ÿฌ์„œ ํŽผ์น˜๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (5๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 5๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์˜ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ค๋Š” ์ชฝ์ด ์œ ๋ฆฌํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ๋œป์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค โ€” ์‹ค์ธก(2026-05-24~09-18, 2,520๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ)์—์„œ๋Š” ๊ทธ์ชฝ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ์˜คํžˆ๋ ค ๋œ ๋‚˜์™”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์€ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ๋Œ€์ฒด๋กœ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‚ฎ์€(์ •๋ฐฐ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ) ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ด๊ณ , ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„์„ ๋งž์ถ”๋ฉด ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฐœ์ˆ˜์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  ์ฐจ์ด๋Š” ์—†์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ํ˜ผ๋ž€
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3๊ด€์ (ํ™ˆ/๋ฌด/์›์ •)์ด ์„œ๋กœ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 6.8%p
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์‹œ์ฆŒํ†ต๊ณ„ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์‹œ์ฆŒ ๋“์‹ค๋ ฅ๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ FC Thun ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 13.7%p
  • โšฝ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-BTTS ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์–‘ํŒ€ ๋“์  ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ 1X2 ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ FC Thun ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 13.4%p
  • phase
    โ”” โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ FC Thun ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 12.3%p
  • ๐Ÿ›Œ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-ํœด์‹์ผ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ง์ „ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ์˜ ํ™ˆ/์›์ • ํœด์‹ ๊ฒฉ์ฐจ์™€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ (๋” ์‰ฐ ํŒ€ ์œ ๋ฆฌ) โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ FC Thun ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 12.4%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฐœ์ˆ˜ = ์ •๋ฐฐ ๊ฐ•๋„์™€ ๊ฑฐ์˜ ๊ฐ™์€ ๊ฐ’ (5๊ฐœ+ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ AI ํ”ฝ 66.9% = ๊ฐ™์€ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ์ •๋ฐฐ 66.9%). ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์œผ๋กœ๋งŒ ๋ณด์„ธ์š”.
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ AI ์—”์ง„ ๋…๋ฆฝ ๋ถ„์„ โ€” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค (๋ชจ๋‘ ํ•ฉ์˜ ์‹œ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ)
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ
๐ŸŽฏ H
55.4%
H 55.4% ยท D 23.0% ยท A 21.5%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค
๐Ÿ›ก 1X
78.4%
1X 78.4% ยท X2 44.5% ยท 12 76.9%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก
๐Ÿ“ away
85.1%
ํ™ˆ 14.9% ยท ์›์ • 85.1% ยท ๋ผ์ธ -3 ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น H 6.4 / A 1.12
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์ 
๐ŸŽฏ YES
55.7%
YES 55.7% ยท NO 44.3% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 1.67 / N 2.1
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
โญ ์•ˆ์ „ (๋”๋ธ” 76%)๐Ÿ”ฅ ๊ณ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น (๋‹จ์ผ 63%)
WhoScored
๐Ÿšซ
โญ WINDRAWWIN ๐Ÿ”ฅ
2 - 0
Prosoccer
74 / 20 / 6
Forebet
4 - 1
โญ Predictor
๐ŸŽฏ ํ™ˆ
UEL #44 Lech Poznaล„ vs FC Thun 7:0
ํ™ˆ์Šน 55%
ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 78%
์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” -3
5/10
TRUST
7.5
Rating
(Ekstraklasa)
VS
6.04
Rating
(Swiss Super League)
* ํ† ๋„ˆ๋จผํŠธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ํ‘œ์‹œ๋œ ์ˆœ์œ„/์Šน์ ์€ ์†Œ์† ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ๊ธฐ์ค€
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.44 4.33 5.75
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.44 4.33 5.75
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋” 9๊ฐœ ๋ผ์ธ
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.02 92% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 11 8%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.14 81% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 5 19%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 1.5 62% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 2.5 38%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 2.1 44% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.67 56%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 3.75 25% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.25 75%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 6.5 14% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.1 86%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 9 10% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1.04 90%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 7.5 15 6% ์–ธ๋” 7.5 1.01 94%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 8.5 21 5% ์–ธ๋” 8.5 1 95%
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
์„ ์ˆ˜ ๋ช…๋‹จ & ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
ํ™ˆ ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
4-2-3-1
Lech Poznaล„
์›์ • ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
4-4-2
FC Thun
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
1M. Lis (๋งˆํ…Œ์šฐ์‹œ ๋ฆฌ์Šค)๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
2J. Pereira (์กฐ์—˜ ํŽ˜๋ ˆ์ด๋ผ)์ˆ˜๋น„-
27W. Monka (๋ณด์ด์ฒดํ ๋ชฌ์นด)์ˆ˜๋น„-
72M. Skrzypczak (๋งˆํ…Œ์šฐ์‹œ ์Šคํฌ์‹œํ”„์ฐจํฌ)์ˆ˜๋น„-
15M. Gurgul (๋ฏธํ•˜์šฐ ๊ตฌ๋ฅด๊ตด)์ˆ˜๋น„-
43A. Kozubal (์•ˆํ† ๋‹ˆ ์ฝ”์ฃผ๋ฐœ)๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
22R. Murawski (๋ผ๋„์Šค์™€ํ”„ ๋ฌด๋ผํ”„์Šคํ‚ค)๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
10P. Walemark (ํŒŒํŠธ๋ฆฌํฌ ๋ณผ๋ ˆ๋งˆ๋ฅดํฌ)๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
21P. Rodriguez (ํŒŒ๋ธ”๋กœ ๋กœ๋“œ๋ฆฌ๊ฒŒ์Šค)๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
77L. Palma (๋ฃจ์ด์Šค ํŒ”๋งˆ)๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
17A. Sayyadmanesh (์•Œ๋ผ์•ผ๋ฅด ์‚ฌ์•ผ๋“œ๋งˆ๋„ค์‹œ)๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
41B. Mrozek (๋ฐ”๋ฅดํ† ์‹œ ๋ฏ€๋กœ์ œํฌ)๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
35M. Pruchniewski (๋งˆํ…Œ์šฐ์‹œ ํ”„๋ฃจํ๋‹ˆ์—ํ”„์Šคํ‚ค)๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
59T. Yegbe (ํ…Œ๋ฆฌ ์˜ˆ๊ทธ๋ฒ )์ˆ˜๋น„-
20R. Gumny (๋กœ๋ฒ ๋ฅดํŠธ ๊ตผ๋‹ˆ)์ˆ˜๋น„-
3A. Douglas (๋”๊ธ€๋Ÿฌ์Šค)์ˆ˜๋น„-
5G. Berggren (๊ตฌ์Šคํƒ€๋ธŒ ๋ฒ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ๋ Œ)๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
53K. Delikat๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
11D. Hakans (๋‹ค๋‹ˆ์—˜ ํ˜ธ์นธ์Šค)๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
7Y. Agnero (์•ผ๋‹ˆํฌ ์•„๋…œ๋กœ)๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
56W. Szymczak (๊ณค์‚ด๋ฒ ์Šค)None-
์›์ • ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
1N. Steffen๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
47F. Fehr์ˆ˜๋น„-
19J. Bamert์ˆ˜๋น„-
23M. Burki์ˆ˜๋น„-
27M. Heule์ˆ˜๋น„-
70N. Reichmuth๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
16J. Roth๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
13N. Zoukit๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
78V. Matoshi (๋ฐœ๋ฏธ๋ฅด ๋งˆํ† ์‹œ)๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
33M. Gutbub๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
96B. Labeau๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
25T. Spycher๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
22D. Walti๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
5N. Burgy์ˆ˜๋น„-
17A. Balaruban์ˆ˜๋น„-
37L. Dahler์ˆ˜๋น„-
18T. Strannegard์ˆ˜๋น„-
21D. Derbaci๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
80S. Lengen๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
30N. Maier๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
9F. Dursun๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
20R. Braschi๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
8F. SaizNone-
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
๐Ÿ  Lech Poznaล„
FC Thun โœˆ๏ธ
⚽ 10' P. Walemark (ํŒŒํŠธ๋ฆฌํฌ ๋ณผ๋ ˆ๋งˆ๋ฅดํฌ)
⚽ 20' A. Sayyadmanesh (์•Œ๋ผ์•ผ๋ฅด ์‚ฌ์•ผ๋“œ๋งˆ๋„ค์‹œ)
⚽ 25' P. Walemark (ํŒŒํŠธ๋ฆฌํฌ ๋ณผ๋ ˆ๋งˆ๋ฅดํฌ)
⚽ 31' M. Skrzypczak (๋งˆํ…Œ์šฐ์‹œ ์Šคํฌ์‹œํ”„์ฐจํฌ)
🔄 37' D. Hakans (๋‹ค๋‹ˆ์—˜ ํ˜ธ์นธ์Šค) ← P. Walemark (ํŒŒํŠธ๋ฆฌํฌ ๋ณผ๋ ˆ๋งˆ๋ฅดํฌ)
⚽ 45' R. Murawski (๋ผ๋„์Šค์™€ํ”„ ๋ฌด๋ผํ”„์Šคํ‚ค)
🔄 46' F. Dursun ← M. Gutbub
🔄 46' T. Strannegard ← M. Heule
🔄 46' F. Saiz ← N. Zoukit
⚽ 47' D. Hakans (๋‹ค๋‹ˆ์—˜ ํ˜ธ์นธ์Šค)
50' Nils Reichmuth
🔄 56' N. Burgy ← N. Reichmuth
🔄 64' R. Gumny (๋กœ๋ฒ ๋ฅดํŠธ ๊ตผ๋‹ˆ) ← P. Rodriguez (ํŒŒ๋ธ”๋กœ ๋กœ๋“œ๋ฆฌ๊ฒŒ์Šค)
🔄 64' G. Berggren (๊ตฌ์Šคํƒ€๋ธŒ ๋ฒ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ๋ Œ) ← L. Palma (๋ฃจ์ด์Šค ํŒ”๋งˆ)
70' Tom Strannegรฅrd
⚽ 79' R. Gumny (๋กœ๋ฒ ๋ฅดํŠธ ๊ตผ๋‹ˆ)
🔄 80' K. Delikat (๋ธ๋ฆฌ์นดํŠธ) ← A. Kozubal (์•ˆํ† ๋‹ˆ ์ฝ”์ฃผ๋ฐœ)
🔄 80' W. Szymczak (๊ณค์‚ด๋ฒ ์Šค) ← A. Sayyadmanesh (์•Œ๋ผ์•ผ๋ฅด ์‚ฌ์•ผ๋“œ๋งˆ๋„ค์‹œ)
🔄 82' L. Dahler ← B. Labeau
87' Radosล‚aw Murawski (๋ผ๋„์Šค์™€ํ”„ ๋ฌด๋ผํ”„์Šคํ‚ค)
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
Lech Poznaล„ ํ™ˆ ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
5
์Šน
0
๋ฌด
0
ํŒจ
100%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 100% ๋“ 18 / ์‹ค 1
FC Thun ์›์ • ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
2
์Šน
0
๋ฌด
3
ํŒจ
40%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 40% ๋“ 13 / ์‹ค 14
H Lech Poznaล„
WWWWWLDWW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
W 08.21 UEFA Europa League (25์œ„) Lech Poznaล„ 7 : 0 FC Thun 1.444.335.75
W 08.15 UEFA Europa League Klaksvรญkar รtrรณttarfelag 0 : 5 Lech Poznaล„ (25์œ„) 4.754.21.55
W 08.10 Ekstraklasa Lech Poznaล„ 3 : 0 Piast Gliwice โ€”
W 08.07 UEFA Europa League (25์œ„) Lech Poznaล„ 1 : 0 Klaksvรญkar รtrรณttarfelag 1.176.2513
W 08.02 Ekstraklasa Wieczysta Krakรณw 1 : 2 Lech Poznaล„ โ€”
L 07.30 UEFA Champions League Lech Poznaล„ 0 : 3 AGF 1.753.84.1
D 07.26 Ekstraklasa Lech Poznaล„ 0 : 0 Cracovia Krakow โ€”
W 07.22 UEFA Champions League ๐ŸŸฅ1 AGF 1 : 4 Lech Poznaล„ 2.353.12.9
W 07.17 Super Cup Lech Poznaล„ 3 : 1 Gรณrnik Zabrze โ€”
A FC Thun
LWLLWLLWDL
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๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
L 08.21 UEFA Europa League (25์œ„) Lech Poznaล„ 7 : 0 FC Thun 1.444.335.75
W 08.16 Schweizer Cup Saxon Sports 0 : 6 FC Thun โ€”
L 08.14 UEFA Europa League Vรญkingur Reykjavรญk 3 : 2 FC Thun 2.23.752.62
L 08.09 Super League Basel 4 : 2 FC Thun โ€”
W 08.07 UEFA Europa League FC Thun 3 : 0 Vรญkingur Reykjavรญk 1.54.25.25
L 08.02 Super League FC Thun 0 : 6 BSC Young Boys โ€”
L 07.29 UEFA Champions League GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 : 2 FC Thun ๐ŸŸฅ1 1.3856.5
W 07.26 Super League FC Luzern 1 : 3 FC Thun โ€”
D 07.22 UEFA Champions League FC Thun 1 : 1 GNK Dinamo Zagreb 4.13.51.85
L 07.11 Friendlies Clubs FC Thun 1 : 2 Waldhof Mannheim โ€”
๐Ÿ“Š ์Šคํƒฏ ๋น„๊ต (UEL)
Lech Poznaล„FC Thun
7.5โญ ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…6.04
7๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ˆ˜3
12๋“์ 5
6์‹ค์ 11
10์–ด์‹œ์ŠคํŠธ4
1.7๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋‹น ๋“์ 1.7
6.1์œ ํšจ์ŠˆํŒ…/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ4.0
3.7๋น…์ฐฌ์Šค/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ2.3
52.0%์ ์œ ์œจ46.0%
0.9์‹ค์ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ3.7
3ํด๋ฆฐ์‹œํŠธ0
10.7ํƒœํด/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ11.3
8.0์ธํ„ฐ์…‰ํŠธ/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ10.0
1.4๊ฒฝ๊ณ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ1.7
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ด 1๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
ํ™ˆ์Šน ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋ณดํ†ต+ (55%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 78%
ํ•ธ๋””์บก: ์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” -3
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -