← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2026-08-14 · #44
J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ · 2026-08-14 · 19:00 KST
Tokyo Verdy
(๋„์ฟ„๋ฒ ๋ฅด)
vs
Kashiwa Reysol
(๊ฐ€์‹œ์™€ ๋ ˆ์ด์†”)
1
:
3
์˜ˆ์ธก : ์›์ •์Šน 41%
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (7๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ 9๊ฐ€์ง€ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 7๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์—์„œ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ‰๊ท  60% ์ด์ƒ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์ ์ค‘ํ•œ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ตœ๊ทผํผ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ๋ฆ„๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ํŒ€์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ Tokyo Verdy ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 11.5%p
  • โš” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ์šฐ์„ธ ํŒ€๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆผ โ†’ Tokyo Verdy ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 18.4%p
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์‹œ์ฆŒํ†ต๊ณ„ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์‹œ์ฆŒ ๋“์‹ค๋ ฅ๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ โ†’ Tokyo Verdy ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 13.4%p
  • โšฝ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-BTTS ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์–‘ํŒ€ ๋“์  ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ 1X2 ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค โ†’ Tokyo Verdy ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 12.8%p
  • ๐Ÿ† ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์Šน์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์‹œ์ฆŒ ์Šน์  ์ฐจ์™€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ ๋ถˆ์ผ์น˜ โ†’ Tokyo Verdy ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 12.7%p
  • phase
    โ”” โ†’ Tokyo Verdy ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 18.0%p
  • ๐Ÿ›Œ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-ํœด์‹์ผ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ง์ „ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ์˜ ํ™ˆ/์›์ • ํœด์‹ ๊ฒฉ์ฐจ์™€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ (๋” ์‰ฐ ํŒ€ ์œ ๋ฆฌ) โ†’ Tokyo Verdy ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 11.9%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋งŽ์„์ˆ˜๋ก "์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ" ํฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ALPHA ๋ฐฑํ…Œ์ŠคํŠธ์ƒ 4๊ฐœ+ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  60.24%
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ AI ์—”์ง„ ๋…๋ฆฝ ๋ถ„์„ โ€” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค (๋ชจ๋‘ ํ•ฉ์˜ ์‹œ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ)
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ (ALPHA2)
๐ŸŽฏ A
41.0%
H 31.0% ยท D 27.9% ยท A 41.0%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค (DL AI)
๐Ÿ›ก 12
78.2%
1X 43.1% ยท X2 68.8% ยท 12 78.2% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.38 ยท CV 68.5% (๋†’์Œ)
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„ (OU AI)
โšฝ U
54.5%
O 45.5% ยท U 54.5% ยท ๋ผ์ธ 2.5 ยท CV 56.0% ยท ์ž์‹ ๊ฐ 54% (๋ณดํ†ต)
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก (HL AI)
๐Ÿ“ 1(+1)
52.3%
1(-1) 5.9% ยท 1(+1) 52.3% ยท 2(-1) 25.7% ยท 2(+1) 69.7% ยท CV 28.2% (๋ณดํ†ต+)
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์  (BTTS AI)
๐ŸŽฏ NO
71.8%
YES 28.2% ยท NO 71.8% ยท CV 68.4% (๋งค์šฐ๋†’์Œ)
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
โญ ์•ˆ์ „ (๋”๋ธ” 76%)๐Ÿ”ฅ ๊ณ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น (๋‹จ์ผ 63%)
WhoScored
๐Ÿšซ
WINDRAWWIN
1 - 2
โญ Prosoccer ๐Ÿ”ฅ
30 / 28 / 42
Forebet
1 - 2
โญ Predictor
โ€”
J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ #44 Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol 1:3
์›์ •์Šน 41%
โญ ํ™ˆ์Šน/์›์ • (12) 78%
์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” 1
์–ธ๋” 2.5
4/10
TRUST
19์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
1
์Šน์ 
6.97
Rating
(J1 League)
VS
4์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
3
์Šน์ 
7.25
Rating
(J1 League)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ 3.85 3.00 1.80 4.20 3.40 1.85
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 4.20 3.40 1.85
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.08 88% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 8 12%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.4 66% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 2.75 34%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 OU AI 2.3 46% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.6 54%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 4.33 22% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.2 78%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 10 10% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.06 90%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 21 5% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.01 95%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 51 2% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1 98%
J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์ˆœ์œ„ํ‘œ
๋ผ์šด๋“œ ์‹œ์ž‘ ์ „ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ์ˆœ์œ„
# ํŒ€ ์Šน์  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์Šน ๋ฌด ํŒจ ๋“์  ์‹ค์  ๋“์‹ค ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
1 Machida Zelvia (๋งˆ์น˜๋‹ค) 3 1 1 0 0 5 1 +4 ์Šน
2 Sanfrecce (์‚ฐํ”„๋ ˆ์ฒด) 3 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3
3 Gamba Osaka (๊ฐ๋ฐ”์˜ค์‚ฌ) 3 1 1 0 0 4 3 +1 ์Šน
4 Kashima Antlers (๊ฐ€์‹œ๋งˆ) 3 1 1 0 0 4 3 +1 ์Šน
5 Kashiwa Reysol (๊ฐ€์‹œ์™€ ๋ ˆ์ด์†”) 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 ์Šน
6 Cerezo Osaka (์„ธ๋ ˆ์†Œ์˜ค) 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 ์Šน
7 V-Varen Nagasaki (๋‚˜๊ฐ€์‚ฌํ‚ค) 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 ์Šน
8 Vissel Kobe (๋น„์…€๊ณ ๋ฒ ) 3 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 ์Šน
9 Shimizu S-Pulse (์‹œ๋ฏธ์ฆˆ) 3 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 ์Šน
10 Kawasaki Frontale (๊ฐ€์™€์‚ฌํ‚ค) 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 ๋ฌด
11 Tokyo Verdy (๋„์ฟ„๋ฒ ๋ฅด) 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 ๋ฌด
12 Yokohama Marinos (์š”์ฝ”ํ•˜๋งˆ) 0 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 ํŒจ
13 Urawa Red Diamonds (์šฐ๋ผ์™€) 0 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 ํŒจ
14 Kyoto Sanga (๊ตํ† ์ƒ๊ฐ€) 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 ํŒจ
15 Fagiano Okayama (์˜ค์นด์•ผ๋งˆ) 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 ํŒจ
16 Mito HollyHock (๋ฏธํ† ) 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 ํŒจ
17 Nagoya Grampus (๋‚˜๊ณ ์•ผ) 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 ํŒจ
18 Avispa Fukuoka (ํ›„์ฟ ์˜ค์นด) 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 ํŒจ
19 JEF United Chiba (์ง€๋ฐ”) 0 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 ํŒจ
20 FC Tokyo (๋„์ฟ„fc) 0 1 0 0 1 1 5 -4 ํŒจ
์•„์ฑ” ์—˜๋ฆฌํŠธ๊ฐ•๋“ฑ
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
Tokyo Verdy ํ™ˆ ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
1
์Šน
2
๋ฌด
2
ํŒจ
20%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 60% ๋“ 5 / ์‹ค 12
Kashiwa Reysol ์›์ • ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
3
์Šน
1
๋ฌด
1
ํŒจ
60%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 80% ๋“ 12 / ์‹ค 6
H Tokyo Verdy
DLDLWDLLWW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
D 08.09 J1 League (9์œ„) Tokyo Verdy 1 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale (11์œ„) 3.23.12.4
L 06.06 J1 League (4์œ„) Tokyo Verdy 2 : 4 Gamba Osaka (1์œ„) 1.963.14.1
D 05.30 J1 League (1์œ„) Gamba Osaka 1 : 1 Tokyo Verdy (4์œ„) 2.23.13.4
L 05.24 J1 League (4์œ„) Tokyo Verdy 0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos (9์œ„) 2.573.12.7
W 05.16 J1 League (7์œ„) Mito Hollyhock 0 : 1 Tokyo Verdy (4์œ„) 2.8532.55
D 05.13 J1 League (3์œ„) Machida Zelvia 0 : 0 Tokyo Verdy (5์œ„) 1.863.24.5
L 05.10 J1 League (2์œ„) FC Tokyo 2 : 1 Tokyo Verdy (4์œ„) 1.763.14.75
L 05.06 J1 League (5์œ„) Kawasaki Frontale 1 : 0 Tokyo Verdy (4์œ„) 2.053.253.5
W 05.03 J1 League (5์œ„) Tokyo Verdy 1 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol (9์œ„) 4.23.11.86
W 04.29 J1 League (5์œ„) Tokyo Verdy 2 : 1 Kashima Antlers (1์œ„)๐ŸŸฅ1 4.753.31.76
A Kashiwa Reysol
WDLWWWWLLL
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
W 08.08 J1 League (11์œ„) Kashiwa Reysol 2 : 1 Mito Hollyhock (3์œ„) 1.573.756
D 08.01 Friendlies Clubs JEF United Chiba 0 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol โ€”
L 06.06 J1 League (8์œ„) Kashiwa Reysol 0 : 1 Kyoto Sanga FC (16์œ„) 1.813.64
W 05.30 J1 League (16์œ„) Kyoto Sanga FC 2 : 6 Kashiwa Reysol (8์œ„) 3.13.22.3
W 05.23 J1 League (8์œ„) Kashiwa Reysol 4 : 2 JEF United Chiba (10์œ„) 1.494.335.75
W 05.16 J1 League (8์œ„) Yokohama F. Marinos 0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol (9์œ„) 3.23.252.2
W 05.10 J1 League (10์œ„) Kashiwa Reysol 1 : 0 Kawasaki Frontale (5์œ„) 1.963.43.6
L 05.06 J1 League (10์œ„) Kashiwa Reysol 0 : 1 Urawa Red Diamonds (6์œ„) 2.013.253.1
L 05.03 J1 League (5์œ„) Tokyo Verdy 1 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol (9์œ„) 4.23.11.86
L 04.29 J1 League (9์œ„) Kashiwa Reysol 1 : 3 FC Tokyo (2์œ„) 2.253.43
๐Ÿ“Š ์Šคํƒฏ ๋น„๊ต (J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ)
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
6.97โญ ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…7.25
7๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ˆ˜7
3๋“์ 13
9์‹ค์ 10
3์–ด์‹œ์ŠคํŠธ10
0.4๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋‹น ๋“์ 1.9
2.4์œ ํšจ์ŠˆํŒ…/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ4.7
1.4๋น…์ฐฌ์Šค/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ2.3
42.6%์ ์œ ์œจ59.0%
1.3์‹ค์ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ1.4
2ํด๋ฆฐ์‹œํŠธ1
13.1ํƒœํด/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ12.6
7.4์ธํ„ฐ์…‰ํŠธ/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ8.1
1.3๊ฒฝ๊ณ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ0.9
์‹œ์ฆŒ ์Šคํƒฏ (์ˆ˜๊ธฐ ์ž…๋ ฅ) ยท 2026-09-15 04:41
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ด 20๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๐Ÿ“ฅ ์ˆ˜๊ธฐ
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
์›์ •์Šน ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋ณดํ†ต (41%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ํ™ˆ์Šน/์›์ • (12) 78%
ํ•ธ๋””์บก: ์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” 1
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: ์–ธ๋” 2.5 54%
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
ํ™ˆ ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
None
Tokyo Verdy
์›์ • ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
None
Kashiwa Reysol
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ ์„ ๋ฐœ
์„ ์ˆ˜ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์—†์Œ
์›์ • ์„ ๋ฐœ
์„ ์ˆ˜ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์—†์Œ
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
๐Ÿ  Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol โœˆ๏ธ
⚽ 2' N. Hayashi
⚽ 11' K. Endo
🔄 54' I. KumatoriyaR. Hirakawa
🔄 55' Y. AraiY. Matsuhashi
🔄 56' M. WataiH. Yamauchi
🔄 57' Y. SegawaY. Kakita
59' N. Nakagawa
⚽ 65' Y. Segawa
🔄 73' S. KandaY. Fukuda
🔄 73' S. NakayamaS. Meshino
🔄 79' H. NakamaY. Koizumi
🔄 80' K. YubaK. Endo
🔄 80' R. ShiraiY. Uchida
⚽ 82' T. Kubo
🔄 84' S. BabaT. Kubo
88' K. Suzuki
96' M. Watai
์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš 
๋ฌด/์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ 
๋น„์Šทํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ 4๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ค‘ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 1๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(25%) + ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(50%)๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์— ๊ทธ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋ฒ ํŒ…ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค ํ™ˆํŒ€ / ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ / ํ•ธ๋””์บก๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜์„ธ์š”.
์ด 4๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ 1 (25%) ๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 1 (25%) โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2 (50%) ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ 51%
2025-06-15 | J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3.60 / 3.10 / 2.20
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol 0:3
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ๋™์ผ ๋งค์น˜์—…
2026-03-14 | J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 4.20 / 3.10 / 1.96
Tokyo Verdy vs Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 100%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2026-03-22 | J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 4.20 / 3.10 / 1.91
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo 0:0
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 100%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2026-05-03 | J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 4.20 / 3.10 / 1.86
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol 1:0
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ๋™์ผ ๋งค์น˜์—