← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2026-07-30 · #21
Copa Sudamericana · 2026-07-30 · 07:00 KST
Vasco da Gama
(๋ฐ”์Šค์ฟ )
Brazil
vs
Independiente Medellรญn
(๋ฉ”๋ฐ์ธ)
Colombia
1
:
0
Thiago Mendes 85' โšฝ
์˜ˆ์ธก : ํ™ˆ์Šน 52%
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ™œ์„ฑ ์‹ ํ˜ธ 4๊ฐœ ๋ˆŒ๋Ÿฌ์„œ ํŽผ์น˜๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (4๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 4๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์˜ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ค๋Š” ์ชฝ์ด ์œ ๋ฆฌํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ๋œป์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค โ€” ์‹ค์ธก(2026-05-24~09-18, 2,520๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ)์—์„œ๋Š” ๊ทธ์ชฝ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ์˜คํžˆ๋ ค ๋œ ๋‚˜์™”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์€ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ๋Œ€์ฒด๋กœ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‚ฎ์€(์ •๋ฐฐ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ) ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ด๊ณ , ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„์„ ๋งž์ถ”๋ฉด ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฐœ์ˆ˜์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  ์ฐจ์ด๋Š” ์—†์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ํ˜ผ๋ž€
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3๊ด€์ (ํ™ˆ/๋ฌด/์›์ •)์ด ์„œ๋กœ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 5.6%p
  • โš” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ์šฐ์„ธ ํŒ€๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆผ โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ Independiente Medellรญn ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 11.7%p
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์‹œ์ฆŒํ†ต๊ณ„ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์‹œ์ฆŒ ๋“์‹ค๋ ฅ๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ Independiente Medellรญn ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 11.7%p
  • phase
    โ”” โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ Independiente Medellรญn ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 12.1%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฐœ์ˆ˜ = ์ •๋ฐฐ ๊ฐ•๋„์™€ ๊ฑฐ์˜ ๊ฐ™์€ ๊ฐ’ (5๊ฐœ+ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ AI ํ”ฝ 66.9% = ๊ฐ™์€ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ์ •๋ฐฐ 66.9%). ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์œผ๋กœ๋งŒ ๋ณด์„ธ์š”.
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ ์˜ˆ์ธก ํ•ญ๋ชฉ ๋น„๊ต โ€” ํ•ญ๋ชฉ๋งˆ๋‹ค ๋”ฐ๋กœ ๊ณ„์‚ฐํ•ด ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ
๐ŸŽฏ H
51.8%
H 51.8% ยท D 26.3% ยท A 21.9%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค
๐Ÿ›ก 1X
78.1%
1X 78.1% ยท X2 48.2% ยท 12 73.7%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก
๐Ÿ“ away
81.9%
ํ™ˆ 18.1% ยท ์›์ • 81.9% ยท ๋ผ์ธ -2.5 ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น H 5.25 / A 1.16
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์ 
๐ŸŽฏ NO
51.5%
YES 48.5% ยท NO 51.5% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 1.91 / N 1.8
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
๐Ÿšซ
WINDRAWWIN
โ€”
Prosoccer
โ€”
Forebet
โ€”
โญ Predictor
โ€”
Copa Sudamericana #21 Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellรญn 1:0
ํ™ˆ์Šน 52%
โญ ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 78%
์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” -2.5
5/10
TRUST
2์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
10
์Šน์ 
6.93
Rating
(CONMEBOL Sudamericana)
VS
-
์ˆœ์œ„
-
์Šน์ 
-
Rating
(Copa Sudamericana)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.62 4.10 5.25
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.62 4.10 5.25
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋” 8๊ฐœ ๋ผ์ธ
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.05 91% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 11 9%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.28 73% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 3.5 27%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 1.95 49% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.85 51%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 3.4 28% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.3 72%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 6.5 15% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.11 85%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 15 6% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.03 94%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 29 3% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1.01 97%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 7.5 51 2% ์–ธ๋” 7.5 1 98%
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
์„ ์ˆ˜ ๋ช…๋‹จ & ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
ํ™ˆ ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
None
Vasco da Gama
์›์ • ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
None
Independiente Medellรญn
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
1Lรฉo Jardim๊ณจํ‚คํผ6.3
96Paulo Henrique์ˆ˜๋น„8.3
46Carlos Cuesta์ˆ˜๋น„7.0
30Robert Renan์ˆ˜๋น„7.5
6Lucas Piton์ˆ˜๋น„6.9
23Thiago Mendes๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”8.2
3Tchรช Tchรช๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.9
11Andrรฉs Gรณmez๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.5
83Ramon Rique๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.2
17Nuno Moreira๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.0
77Claudio Spinelli๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.3
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
13Daniel Fuzato๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
66Cuiabano 41'์ˆ˜๋น„6.7
4Alan Saldivia 38'์ˆ˜๋น„6.6
43Lucas Freitas์ˆ˜๋น„-
2Puma Rodrรญguez์ˆ˜๋น„-
8Jair 32'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.9
98JP๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
28Adson 41'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.9
20Brenner 32'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.9
10Johan Rojas๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
18Marino Hinestroza๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
7David๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
์›์ • ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
25Eder Chaux๊ณจํ‚คํผ7.5
26Esneyder Mena์ˆ˜๋น„7.5
4Kevin Mantilla์ˆ˜๋น„6.9
5Joaquin Varela์ˆ˜๋น„6.3
13Jhan Mena์ˆ˜๋น„7.0
16Halam Loboa๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.6
6Didier Moreno๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.9
70Juan Cรณrdoba๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.7
21Agustรญn Martegani๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.6
20John Edwin Montaรฑo๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.9
9Jeison Medina๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.0
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
12Simรณn Romero๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
1Salvador Ichazo๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
19Alfonso Simarra์ˆ˜๋น„-
39Luis Escorcia์ˆ˜๋น„-
30Hayen Palacios์ˆ˜๋น„-
14Baldomero Perlaza 18'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.3
10Daniel Cataรฑo 18'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.2
34Keiner Klinger 8'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.7
31Diego Moreno๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
11Yony Gonzรกlez 39'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.5
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
๐Ÿ  Vasco da Gama
Independiente Medellรญn โœˆ๏ธ
4' Claudio Spinelli
39' Joaquin Varela
🔄 57' Adson ← Tchรช Tchรช
🔄 57' Cuiabano ← Lucas Piton
🔄 59' Yony Gonzรกlez ← Halam Loboa
🔄 60' Alan Saldivia ← Robert Renan
🔄 66' Brenner ← Claudio Spinelli
🔄 66' Jair ← Ramon Rique
69' Jair
🔄 80' Daniel Cataรฑo ← John Edwin Montaรฑo
🔄 80' Baldomero Perlaza ← Didier Moreno
⚽ 85' Thiago Mendes
86' Thiago Mendes
🔄 90' Keiner Klinger ← Juan Cรณrdoba
92' Keiner Klinger
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
Vasco da Gama ํ™ˆ ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
1
์Šน
2
๋ฌด
2
ํŒจ
20%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 60% ๋“ 6 / ์‹ค 5
Independiente Medellรญn ์›์ • ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
2
์Šน
2
๋ฌด
1
ํŒจ
40%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 80% ๋“ 8 / ์‹ค 7
H Vasco da Gama
DDLLWLLLDW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
D 07.26 Serie A 17์œ„ Vasco da Gama 1 : 1 Mirassol 18์œ„ 23.43.8
D 07.23 CONMEBOL Sudamericana Independiente Medellรญn 2 : 2 Vasco da Gama 2์œ„ 2.383.13.2
L 07.17 Serie A 13์œ„ Vitรณria 1 : 0 Vasco da Gama 17์œ„ 2.573.22.75
L 06.01 Serie A 16์œ„ Vasco da Gama 0 : 1 Atlรฉtico Mineiro 12์œ„ 1.863.64
W 05.28 CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2์œ„ Vasco da Gama 3 : 0 Barracas Central 4์œ„๐ŸŸฅ1 1.364.759
L 05.25 Serie A 12์œ„ Vasco da Gama 0 : 3 Red Bull Bragantino 6์œ„ 1.963.43.8
L 05.21 CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2์œ„ Olimpia 3 : 1 Vasco da Gama 1์œ„๐ŸŸฅ2 2.2532.9
L 05.17 Serie A 14์œ„ Internacional 4 : 1 Vasco da Gama 8์œ„๐ŸŸฅ1 1.913.44.2
D 05.14 Copa Do Brasil Vasco da Gama 2 : 2 Paysandu โ€”
W 05.11 Serie A Vasco da Gama 1 : 0 Athletico โ€”
A Independiente Medellรญn
WDWDLWDWL
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
W 07.26 Primera A Independiente Medellรญn 3 : 2 Deportivo Pasto โ€”
D 07.23 CONMEBOL Sudamericana Independiente Medellรญn 2 : 2 Vasco da Gama 2์œ„ 2.383.13.2
W 06.03 Copa Colombia Independiente Medellรญn 2 : 1 Cucuta โ€”
D 05.30 Copa Colombia Leones FC 1 : 1 Independiente Medellรญn โ€”
L 05.27 CONMEBOL Libertadores 3์œ„ Estudiantes de La Plata 1 : 0 Independiente Medellรญn 2์œ„ 1.653.56.25
W 05.21 CONMEBOL Libertadores 4์œ„ Cusco FC 2 : 3 Independiente Medellรญn 3์œ„ 2.43.13.2
D 05.16 Copa Colombia Orsomarso 1 : 1 Independiente Medellรญn โ€”
W 05.12 Copa Colombia Independiente Medellรญn 1 : 0 Fortaleza FC โ€”
L 05.04 Primera A Independiente Medellรญn 1 : 2 รguilas Doradas โ€”
๐Ÿ“Š ์Šคํƒฏ ๋น„๊ต (Copa Sudamericana)
Vasco da GamaIndependiente Medellรญn
6.93โญ ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…-
13๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ˆ˜-
20๋“์ -
9์‹ค์ -
16์–ด์‹œ์ŠคํŠธ-
1.5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋‹น ๋“์ -
5.4์œ ํšจ์ŠˆํŒ…/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ-
3.1๋น…์ฐฌ์Šค/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ-
51.9%์ ์œ ์œจ-
0.7์‹ค์ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ-
8ํด๋ฆฐ์‹œํŠธ-
16.5ํƒœํด/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ-
9.2์ธํ„ฐ์…‰ํŠธ/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ-
2.7๊ฒฝ๊ณ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ-
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ด 1๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
ํ™ˆ์Šน ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋ณดํ†ต+ (52%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 78%
ํ•ธ๋””์บก: ์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” -2.5
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ†ต๊ณ„
Vasco da Gama
Independiente Medellรญn
7.01
ํ‰๊ท  ํ‰์ 
6.71
13
์ŠˆํŒ…
7
447
ํŒจ์Šค
292
83.0%
ํŒจ์Šค ์„ฑ๊ณต๋ฅ 
77.0%
9
ํ‚ค ํŒจ์Šค
4
13
ํƒœํด
23
48
๋“€์–ผ ์„ฑ๊ณต
53
0
์„ธ์ด๋ธŒ
3