← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2026-05-17 · #75
Liga Portugal · 2026-05-17 · 02:00 KST
FC Arouca
(์•„๋กœ์นด)
vs
Tondela
(ํ†ค๋ธ๋ผ)
3
:
1
โš  ์˜ˆ์ธก : ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 38%
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (4๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ 9๊ฐ€์ง€ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 4๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์—์„œ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ‰๊ท  60% ์ด์ƒ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์ ์ค‘ํ•œ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-๋žญํ‚น ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์ˆœ์œ„์™€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์ด ๋ถˆ์ผ์น˜ โ†’ FC Arouca ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 17.8%p
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์‹œ์ฆŒํ†ต๊ณ„ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์‹œ์ฆŒ ๋“์‹ค๋ ฅ๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ โ†’ FC Arouca ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 15.6%p
  • ๐Ÿ† ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์Šน์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์‹œ์ฆŒ ์Šน์  ์ฐจ์™€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ ๋ถˆ์ผ์น˜ โ†’ FC Arouca ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 20.3%p
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋ณ€๋™ ๊ฐ์ง€
    โ”” ์ดˆ๊ธฐโ†’์ตœ์ข… ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์›€์ง์ž„ (์Šค๋งˆํŠธ๋จธ๋‹ˆ) โ†’ FC Arouca ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 18.8%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋งŽ์„์ˆ˜๋ก "์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ" ํฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ALPHA ๋ฐฑํ…Œ์ŠคํŠธ์ƒ 4๊ฐœ+ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  60.24%
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ AI ์—”์ง„ ๋…๋ฆฝ ๋ถ„์„ โ€” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค (๋ชจ๋‘ ํ•ฉ์˜ ์‹œ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ)
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ (ML AI)
๐ŸŽฏ D
38.4%
H 35.8% ยท D 38.4% ยท A 25.8%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค (DL AI)
๐Ÿ›ก X2
73.2%
1X 53.4% ยท X2 73.2% ยท 12 71.4% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.43 ยท CV 69.9% (๋†’์Œ)
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„ (OU AI)
โšฝ O
58.3%
O 58.3% ยท U 41.7% ยท ๋ผ์ธ 2.5 ยท CV 55.1% ยท ์ž์‹ ๊ฐ 58% (๋ณดํ†ต+)
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก (HL AI)
๐Ÿ“ 1(+1)
72.5%
1(-1) 17.7% ยท 1(+1) 72.5% ยท 2(-1) 10.5% ยท 2(+1) 56.2% ยท CV 29.9% (๋งค์šฐ๋†’์Œ)
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์  (BTTS AI)
๐ŸŽฏ YES
62.2%
YES 62.2% ยท NO 37.8% ยท CV 63.5% (๋†’์Œ)
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
๐Ÿšซ
WINDRAWWIN
2 - 2
Prosoccer
75 / 20 / 5
Forebet
2 - 1
โญ Predictor
โ€”
Liga Portugal #75 FC Arouca vs Tondela 3:1
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 38%
โญ ๋ฌด/์›์ • (X2) 73%
์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” 1
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5
3/10
TRUST
9์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
39
์Šน์ 
6.64
Rating
(Liga Portugal)
VS
17์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
28
์Šน์ 
6.69
Rating
(Liga Portugal)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น(๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ณ€๋™ 2ํšŒ)
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 3.10 3.40 2.20
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 3.25 3.40 2.05
๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ ํˆฌํ‘œ์œจํ™ˆ 49%๋ฌด 17%์›์ • 33%ํ‘œ๋ณธ 6,736
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.05 91% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 11 9%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.25 75% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 3.75 25%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 OU AI ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.85 58% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 1.95 42%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 3 31% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.36 69%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 6 16% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.12 84%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 13 7% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.04 93%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 26 4% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1.01 96%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 7.5 51 2% ์–ธ๋” 7.5 1 98%
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
๐Ÿ  FC Arouca
2
์Šน
1
๋ฌด
2
ํŒจ
40%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 60% ๋“ 15 / ์‹ค 12
โœˆ๏ธ Tondela
2
์Šน
1
๋ฌด
2
ํŒจ
40%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 60% ๋“ 8 / ์‹ค 16
H FC Arouca
WWDLWLWWLL
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
W 05.17 Liga Portugal (9์œ„) FC Arouca 3 : 1 Tondela (17์œ„)
W 05.12 Liga Portugal (6์œ„) Gil Vicente 1 : 3 FC Arouca (11์œ„)
D 05.02 Liga Portugal ๐ŸŸฅ2 (11์œ„) FC Arouca 2 : 2 Santa Clara (13์œ„)๐ŸŸฅ1
L 04.25 Liga Portugal FC Alverca 2 : 1 FC Arouca
W 04.19 Liga Portugal FC Arouca 1 : 0 CF Estrela Amadora
L 04.13 Liga Portugal Sporting Braga 1 : 0 FC Arouca
W 04.07 Liga Portugal FC Arouca 3 : 2 Estoril Praia
W 03.22 Liga Portugal Moreirense 0 : 1 FC Arouca
L 03.15 Liga Portugal FC Arouca 1 : 2 Benfica
L 03.07 Liga Portugal Famalicรฃo 1 : 0 FC Arouca
A Tondela
LWWDLLDLD?
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
L 05.17 Liga Portugal (9์œ„) FC Arouca 3 : 1 Tondela (17์œ„)
W 05.12 Liga Portugal (17์œ„) Tondela 2 : 0 Moreirense (7์œ„)๐ŸŸฅ1
W 05.03 Liga Portugal ๐ŸŸฅ2 (16์œ„) Casa Pia 0 : 1 Tondela (17์œ„)
D 04.30 Liga Portugal (3์œ„) Sporting CP 2 : 2 Tondela (17์œ„)
L 04.25 Liga Portugal Tondela 0 : 2 CD Nacional
L 04.20 Liga Portugal FC Porto 2 : 0 Tondela
D 04.14 Liga Portugal Tondela 2 : 2 Gil Vicente
L 04.04 Liga Portugal Vitรณria SC 5 : 0 Tondela
D 03.22 Liga Portugal Tondela 0 : 0 AVS - Futebol SAD
? 03.16 Liga Portugal Sporting CP โ€” : โ€” Tondela
์‹œ์ฆŒ ํ†ต๊ณ„ ๋น„๊ต (Liga Portugal)
ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…: 6.63ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…: 6.68
FC Arouca ํ•ญ๋ชฉ Tondela
32 ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ˆ˜ 32
41 ๋“์  24
62 ์‹ค์  52
1.3 ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋‹น ๊ณจ 0.8
7 ํด๋ฆฐ์‹œํŠธ 6
26 ์–ด์‹œ์ŠคํŠธ 10
50.1 ํ‰๊ท  ์ ์œ ์œจ 43.6
335 ์ŠˆํŒ… 335
112 ์œ ํšจ์ŠˆํŒ… 111
82.9 ํŒจ์Šค ์ •ํ™•๋„ 78.9
61 ๋น…์ฐฌ์Šค 61
89 ๊ฒฝ๊ณ  85
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ด 13๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๐Ÿ“ฅ ์ˆ˜๊ธฐ
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋‚ฎ์Œ (38%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ๋ฌด/์›์ • (X2) 73%
ํ•ธ๋””์บก: ์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” 1
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: ์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 58%
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
ํ™ˆ ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
4-2-3-1
FC Arouca ⭐ 6.64
์›์ • ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
3-4-3
Tondela ⭐ 6.69
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
NoneIgnacio de Arruabarrena๊ณจํ‚คํผ6.4
NoneTiago Esgaio์ˆ˜๋น„8.1
NoneOmar Fayed์ˆ˜๋น„7.3
NoneJavi Sรกnchez์ˆ˜๋น„6.7
NoneBas Kuipers์ˆ˜๋น„6.7
NoneEspen Van Ee๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.7
NoneTaichi Fukui๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”8.6
NoneAlfonso Trezza๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”8.1
NonePablo Gozรกlbez๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.0
NoneNaรฏs Djouahra๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.0
NoneIvan Barbero๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.4
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
NoneJakub Vinarฤรญk๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
NoneDiogo Monteiro 31'์ˆ˜๋น„6.7
NoneJosรฉ Silva์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneHyun-ju Lee 27'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.1
NoneMateo Flores 11'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.6
NonePedro Santos 11'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.9
NoneDylan Nandรญn 27'๊ณต๊ฒฉ7.1
NoneBrian Mansilla๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
NoneFally Mayulu๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
์›์ • ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
NoneBernardo Fontes๊ณจํ‚คํผ6.4
NoneJoรฃo Silva์ˆ˜๋น„7.2
NoneChristian Marques์ˆ˜๋น„6.8
NoneJuan Rodrรญguez์ˆ˜๋น„6.2
NoneTiago Manso๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.4
NoneCicero๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”5.9
NoneHugo Fรฉlix๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.4
NoneRodrigo Conceiรงรฃo๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.2
NoneMaranhรฃo๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.9
NoneRony Lopes๊ณต๊ฒฉ7.6
NoneMakan Aรฏko๊ณต๊ฒฉ7.0
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
NoneGabriel Souza๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
NoneJoรฃo Afonso 8'์ˆ˜๋น„6.2
NoneBebeto์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneHรฉlder Tavares 29'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.2
NoneJoe Hodge 17'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.4
NoneSiphephelo Sithole๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NoneBenjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka 17'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.2
NoneArjen Van Der Heide 9'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.7
NoneJordan Siebatcheu๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
๐Ÿ  FC Arouca
Tondela โœˆ๏ธ
⚽ 20' T. Fukui
39' O. Fayed
41' B. Kuipers
41' Cicero
🔄 59' D. Monteiro ← O. Fayed
🔄 61' H. Tavares ← Cicero
🔄 63' H. Lee ← N. Djouahra
🔄 63' D. Nandรญn ← I. Barbero
⚽ 65' R. Lopes
🔄 73' B. Mbunga-Kimpioka ← M. Aรฏko
🔄 73' J. Hodge ← H. Fรฉlix
⚽ 77' A. Trezza
🔄 79' P. S. Carvalho ← P. Gozรกlbez
🔄 79' M. Flores ← T. Fukui
81' H. Lee
🔄 81' A. Van Der Heide ← R. Conceiรงรฃo
🔄 82' J. Afonso ← Maranhรฃo
⚽ 85' H. Lee
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ†ต๊ณ„
FC Arouca
Tondela
7.18
ํ‰๊ท  ํ‰์ 
6.64
16
์ŠˆํŒ…
11
456
ํŒจ์Šค
402
81.1%
ํŒจ์Šค ์„ฑ๊ณต๋ฅ 
80.8%
15
ํ‚ค ํŒจ์Šค
8
21
ํƒœํด
16
24
ํด๋ฆฌ์–ด๋ง
15
15
๊ณต์ค‘๋ณผ ์„ฑ๊ณต
10
657
ํ„ฐ์น˜
605
56
๋“€์–ผ ์„ฑ๊ณต
45
1
์„ธ์ด๋ธŒ
1
์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš 
๋ฌด/์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ 
๋น„์Šทํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ค‘ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 2๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(25%) + ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(25%)๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์— ๊ทธ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋ฒ ํŒ…ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค ํ™ˆํŒ€ / ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ / ํ•ธ๋””์บก๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜์„ธ์š”.
์ด 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ 4 (50%) ๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 2 (25%) โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2 (25%)
2025-05-17 | Liga Portugal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.70 / 3.20 / 2.60
Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente 1:1
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 74%
2025-05-18 | Liga Portugal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.63 / 3.30 / 2.60
Estoril Praia vs CF Estrela Amadora 4:0
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 6%
2025-05-18 | Liga Portugal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.91 / 3.70 / 3.70
FC Arouca vs Boavista 4:1
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 26%
2025-08-24 | Liga Portugal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.85 / 3.20 / 4.50
Famalicรฃo vs Gil Vicente 0:0
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 25%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 74%
2025-08-30 | Liga Portugal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.05 / 3.20 / 3.50
Casa Pia vs CD Nacional 0:2
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 41%
2025-09-27 | Liga Portugal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.01 / 3.20 / 3.70
Moreirense vs Casa Pia 2:1
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 74%
2025-09-28 | Liga Portugal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.10 / 3.10 / 3.60
CF Estrela Amadora vs AVS - Futebol SAD 3:0
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 40%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 74%
2026-05-02 | Liga Portugal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.35 / 3.10 / 3.00
Moreirense vs CF Estrela Amadora 3:2
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 80%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 42%