히버니언 vs 마더웰 경기 예측·배당 (Scottish Premiership 2026-05-16)

← 대시보드 | 2026-05-16 · #51

Scottish Premiership · 2026-05-16 · 20:30 KST

Hibernian

(히버니언)

Motherwell

(마더웰)

⚠ 예측 : 원정승 47%

🚨 주의해야 할 경기

⚠ 지표가 엇갈리는 경기 (2개 신호 활성)

ALPHA 엔진의 9가지 신호 중 2개가 배당과 다른 방향을 가리킵니다. 과거 데이터에서 시장 괴리 경기는 평균 60% 이상 예측 적중한 기록이 있습니다.

⚔ 배당-상대전적 괴리
└ 상대전적 우세 팀과 배당이 엇갈림 → Hibernian 유리 방향
└ 배당과 차이: 13.4%p
📉 배당변동 감지
└ 초기→최종 배당이 크게 움직임 (스마트머니) → Hibernian 유리 방향
└ 배당과 차이: 11.6%p

📌 신호 많을수록 "시장 괴리" 큰 경기 — ALPHA 백테스트상 4개+ 신호 경기 적중률 60.24%

🤖5개 AI 엔진 독립 분석 — 결과가 다를 수 있습니다 (모두 합의 시 강한 신호)

🏆 승무패 (ML AI)

🎯 A

46.7%

H 30.6% · D 22.7% · A 46.7%

🛡 더블찬스 (DL AI)

🛡 12

75.2%

1X 61.8% · X2 66.5% · 12 75.2% · 배당 1.39 · CV 69.9% (높음)

⚽ 언더/오버 (OU AI)

⚽ O

56.3%

O 56.3% · U 43.7% · 라인 2.5 · CV 55.4% · 자신감 56% (보통+)

📏 핸디캡 (HL AI)

📏 2(+1)

69.9%

1(-1) 14.1% · 1(+1) 63.5% · 2(-1) 20.0% · 2(+1) 69.8% · CV 29.9% (매우높음)

🎯 양팀득점 (BTTS AI)

🎯 YES

65.4%

YES 65.4% · NO 34.6% · CV 65.3% (높음)

📊 외부 예측 사이트

WhoScored

2 - 1

WINDRAWWIN

2 - 0

Prosoccer

74 / 20 / 6

Forebet

2 - 1

⭐ Predictor

—

Scottish Premiership #51 Hibernian vs Motherwell

원정승 47%

⭐ 홈승/원정 (12) 75%

원정 핸디 1

오버 2.5

4/10

TRUST

5위

순위

승점

6.86

Rating
(Scottish Premiership)

4위

순위

승점

6.91

Rating
(Scottish Premiership)

	🇰🇷 국내배당			🌍 해외배당(배당 변동 4회)
	홈	무	원정	홈	무	원정
현재	—	—	—	2.65	3.28	2.57
변동 1	—	—	—	2.61	3.32	2.58
변동 2	—	—	—	2.55	3.30	2.57
초기	—	—	—	2.45	3.50	2.45

🌍 해외 투표율홈 47%무 21%원정 32%표본 1,075

오버/언더

오버 0.5	1.05	91%	언더 0.5	11	9%
오버 1.5	1.29	74%	언더 1.5	3.75	26%
오버 2.5 OU AI 🎯 추천	1.91	56%	언더 2.5	1.91	44%
오버 3.5	3.2	30%	언더 3.5	1.36	70%
오버 4.5	6	16%	언더 4.5	1.12	84%
오버 5.5	13	7%	언더 5.5	1.04	93%
오버 6.5	26	4%	언더 6.5	1.01	96%
오버 7.5	51	2%	언더 7.5	1	98%

최근 폼 비교

🏠 Hibernian

승

무

패

50%

승률

무패율 50% 득 15 / 실 12

✈️ Motherwell

승

무

패

25%

승률

무패율 50% 득 13 / 실 18

H Hibernian

WWLLLWDDDW

	날짜	리그	홈	스코어	어웨이
W	05.14	Scottish Premiership	(3위) Rangers	1 : 2	Hibernian (5위)
W	05.09	Scottish Premiership	Falkirk FC	1 : 3	Hibernian
L	05.03	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian	1 : 2	Celtic
L	04.27	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian	1 : 2	Heart of Midlothian
L	04.11	Scottish Premiership	Aberdeen	2 : 0	Hibernian
W	04.04	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian	3 : 0	Kilmarnock
D	03.22	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell	0 : 0	Hibernian
D	03.15	Scottish Premiership	Hibernian	0 : 0	Livingston
D	03.01	Scottish Premiership	Dundee FC	3 : 3	Hibernian
W	02.23	Scottish Premiership	Celtic	1 : 2	Hibernian

A Motherwell

LDLWLLDLLW

	날짜	리그	홈	스코어	어웨이
L	05.14	Scottish Premiership	(4위) Motherwell	2 : 3	Celtic (2위)
D	05.10	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell	1 : 1	Heart of Midlothian
L	05.02	Scottish Premiership	Falkirk FC	1 : 0	Motherwell
W	04.26	Scottish Premiership	Rangers	2 : 3	Motherwell
L	04.11	Scottish Premiership	Heart of Midlothian	3 : 1	Motherwell
L	04.04	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell	2 : 3	Falkirk FC
D	03.22	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell	0 : 0	Hibernian
L	03.15	Scottish Premiership	Celtic	3 : 1	Motherwell
L	03.08	Scottish Premiership	Dundee FC	2 : 1	Motherwell
W	03.01	Scottish Premiership	Motherwell	2 : 0	Dundee United

시즌 통계 비교 (Scottish Premiership)

평균 레이팅: 6.86평균 레이팅: 6.92

Hibernian	항목	Motherwell
36	경기수	36
56	득점	56
42	실점	33
1.6	경기당 골	1.6
11	클린시트	17
41	어시스트	38
47.2	평균 점유율	58.4
437	슈팅	474
163	유효슈팅	175
80	패스 정확도	85.4
79	빅찬스	81
69	경고	55

상대전적 (H2H) — 총 79경기📥 수기

Hibernian

무승부

Motherwell

30%40%30%

📋 전체 — 최근 경기 · 총 79경기 중 상위 10개

날짜	대회	홈	스코어	원정
2026-03-21	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
2026-01-10	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2025-11-25	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 0	Hibernian
2025-01-11	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 1	Motherwell
2024-11-30	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 3	Hibernian
2024-10-05	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 2	Motherwell
2024-05-15	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 0	Motherwell
2024-04-13	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 1	Hibernian
2024-01-02	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 2	Motherwell
2023-08-13	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
2023-04-01	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 3	Motherwell
2023-01-08	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 3	Hibernian
2022-10-08	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 0	Motherwell
2022-03-13	FA	Motherwell	1 - 2	Hibernian
2022-01-26	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
2021-12-04	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2021-08-01	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 3	Hibernian
2021-04-24	FA	Hibernian	2 - 2	Motherwell
2021-02-27	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 2	Motherwell
2020-12-05	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 3	Hibernian
2020-08-15	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 0	Motherwell
2020-01-25	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
2019-11-23	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 1	Motherwell
2019-08-31	Sc1	Motherwell	3 - 0	Hibernian
2019-03-16	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 0	Motherwell
2019-01-23	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
2018-08-05	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 0	Motherwell
2018-01-31	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 1	Motherwell
2017-10-28	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 1	Hibernian
2017-09-16	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 2	Motherwell
2014-03-26	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 3	Motherwell
2013-11-03	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
2013-08-04	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 1	Motherwell
2013-03-15	Sc1	Motherwell	4 - 1	Hibernian
2012-12-15	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 3	Motherwell
2012-10-26	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 4	Hibernian
2012-04-08	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2012-02-22	Sc1	Motherwell	4 - 3	Hibernian
2011-10-15	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 1	Motherwell
2011-09-20	ScC	Motherwell	2 - 2	Hibernian
2011-01-22	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 0	Hibernian
2010-11-13	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 1	Motherwell
2010-08-15	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 3	Hibernian
2010-05-05	Sc1	Motherwell	6 - 6	Hibernian
2010-02-20	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
2009-12-05	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 0	Motherwell
2009-09-26	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hibernian
2009-01-31	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2008-11-22	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 4	Hibernian
2008-08-30	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 1	Motherwell
2008-05-22	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 2	Motherwell
2008-03-29	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
2008-03-12	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 0	Motherwell
2007-10-20	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
2007-09-26	ScC	Hibernian	2 - 4	Motherwell
2007-01-27	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 0	Motherwell
2006-11-18	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 6	Hibernian
2006-08-19	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 1	Motherwell
2006-03-18	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 2	Hibernian
2005-12-17	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 1	Motherwell
2005-09-24	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hibernian
2005-05-07	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 2	Hibernian
2005-02-15	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 1	Hibernian
2004-11-06	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 0	Motherwell
2004-08-14	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 2	Hibernian
2004-03-24	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 3	Motherwell
2003-12-13	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 1	Hibernian
2003-09-13	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 2	Motherwell
2003-05-10	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 0	Motherwell
2003-02-08	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
2002-11-23	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 1	Motherwell
2002-08-31	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 2	Hibernian
2002-04-21	Sc1	Hibernian	4 - 0	Motherwell
2002-02-09	Sc1	Motherwell	4 - 0	Hibernian
2001-12-08	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2001-09-08	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hibernian
2001-03-04	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2000-12-03	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hibernian
2000-09-16	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 0	Motherwell

Hibernian

무승부

Motherwell

30%40%30%

📋 Sc1 — 최근 경기 · 총 75경기 중 상위 10개

날짜	대회	홈	스코어	원정
2026-03-21	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
2026-01-10	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2025-11-25	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 0	Hibernian
2025-01-11	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 1	Motherwell
2024-11-30	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 3	Hibernian
2024-10-05	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 2	Motherwell
2024-05-15	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 0	Motherwell
2024-04-13	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 1	Hibernian
2024-01-02	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 2	Motherwell
2023-08-13	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
2023-04-01	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 3	Motherwell
2023-01-08	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 3	Hibernian
2022-10-08	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 0	Motherwell
2022-01-26	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
2021-12-04	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2021-08-01	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 3	Hibernian
2021-02-27	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 2	Motherwell
2020-12-05	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 3	Hibernian
2020-08-15	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 0	Motherwell
2020-01-25	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
2019-11-23	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 1	Motherwell
2019-08-31	Sc1	Motherwell	3 - 0	Hibernian
2019-03-16	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 0	Motherwell
2019-01-23	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
2018-08-05	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 0	Motherwell
2018-01-31	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 1	Motherwell
2017-10-28	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 1	Hibernian
2017-09-16	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 2	Motherwell
2014-03-26	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 3	Motherwell
2013-11-03	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
2013-08-04	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 1	Motherwell
2013-03-15	Sc1	Motherwell	4 - 1	Hibernian
2012-12-15	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 3	Motherwell
2012-10-26	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 4	Hibernian
2012-04-08	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2012-02-22	Sc1	Motherwell	4 - 3	Hibernian
2011-10-15	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 1	Motherwell
2011-01-22	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 0	Hibernian
2010-11-13	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 1	Motherwell
2010-08-15	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 3	Hibernian
2010-05-05	Sc1	Motherwell	6 - 6	Hibernian
2010-02-20	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
2009-12-05	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 0	Motherwell
2009-09-26	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hibernian
2009-01-31	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2008-11-22	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 4	Hibernian
2008-08-30	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 1	Motherwell
2008-05-22	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 2	Motherwell
2008-03-29	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
2008-03-12	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 0	Motherwell
2007-10-20	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
2007-01-27	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 0	Motherwell
2006-11-18	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 6	Hibernian
2006-08-19	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 1	Motherwell
2006-03-18	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 2	Hibernian
2005-12-17	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 1	Motherwell
2005-09-24	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hibernian
2005-05-07	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 2	Hibernian
2005-02-15	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 1	Hibernian
2004-11-06	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 0	Motherwell
2004-08-14	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 2	Hibernian
2004-03-24	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 3	Motherwell
2003-12-13	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 1	Hibernian
2003-09-13	Sc1	Hibernian	0 - 2	Motherwell
2003-05-10	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 0	Motherwell
2003-02-08	Sc1	Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
2002-11-23	Sc1	Hibernian	3 - 1	Motherwell
2002-08-31	Sc1	Motherwell	0 - 2	Hibernian
2002-04-21	Sc1	Hibernian	4 - 0	Motherwell
2002-02-09	Sc1	Motherwell	4 - 0	Hibernian
2001-12-08	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2001-09-08	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hibernian
2001-03-04	Sc1	Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
2000-12-03	Sc1	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hibernian
2000-09-16	Sc1	Hibernian	2 - 0	Motherwell

날짜	대회	홈	스코어	원정
2022-03-13	FA	Motherwell	1 - 2	Hibernian
2021-04-24	FA	Hibernian	2 - 2	Motherwell

날짜	대회	홈	스코어	원정
2011-09-20	ScC	Motherwell	2 - 2	Hibernian
2007-09-26	ScC	Hibernian	2 - 4	Motherwell

종합 판단

원정승 추천 — 신뢰도 보통 (47%)
복수 픽: 홈승/원정 (12) 75%
핸디캡: 원정 핸디 1
오버/언더: 오버 2.5 56%

라인업 & 포메이션

홈 포메이션

3-4-1-2

Hibernian ⭐ 6.86

원정 포메이션

4-2-3-1

Motherwell ⭐ 6.91

라인업: 확정

홈 선발

#	선수	포지션	평점
None	Raphael Sallinger	골키퍼	7.9
None	Warren O'Hora	수비	6.5
None	Rocky Bushiri	수비	6.7
None	Jordan Obita	수비	6.8
None	Felix Passlack	미드필더	6.6
None	Miguel Changa Chaiwa	미드필더	7.2
None	Joe Newell	미드필더	6.4
None	Nicky Cadden	미드필더	7.2
None	Jamie McGrath	공격	6.2
None	Martin Boyle	공격	6.9
None	Owen Elding	공격	6.7
교체 선수
None	Jordan Smith	골키퍼	-
None	Grant Hanley 43'	수비	6.7
None	Jack Iredale	수비	-
None	Chris Cadden	수비	-
None	Daniel Barlaser 45'	미드필더	7.2
None	Josh Mulligan 45'	미드필더	6.7
None	Josh Campbell	미드필더	-
None	Dane Scarlett 31'	공격	6.3
None	Ante Šuto 20'	공격	6.9

원정 선발

#	선수	포지션	평점
None	Matty Connelly	골키퍼	6.6
None	Tom Sparrow	수비	7.3
None	Liam Gordon	수비	8.0
None	Stephen Welsh	수비	7.6
None	Emmanuel Longelo	수비	7.1
None	Elliot Watt	미드필더	6.2
None	Lukas Fadinger	미드필더	7.7
None	Regan Charles-Cook	미드필더	7.1
None	Callum Slattery	미드필더	6.8
None	Tawanda Maswanhise	미드필더	6.5
None	Elijah Just	공격	7.0
교체 선수
None	Aston Oxborough	골키퍼	-
None	Johnny Koutroumbis 17'	수비	6.6
None	Stephen O'Donnell 11'	수비	6.7
None	Oscar Priestman 17'	미드필더	6.6
None	Ibrahim Said 17'	공격	6.4
None	Callum Hendry 15'	공격	6.6
None	Sam Nicholson	공격	-
None	Luca Ross	공격	-
None	Zach Robinson	공격	-