← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2026-04-24 · #7
J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ · 2026-04-24 · 19:00 KST
FC Tokyo
(๋„์ฟ„fc)
vs
Mito Hollyhock
(๋ฏธํ† )
5
:
2
M. Ryan 35' โšฝ
K. Sato 43' โšฝ
M. Ryan (PK) 45' โšฝ
S. Muroya 68' โšฝ
R. Sato 74' โšฝ
โšฝ Danilo Cardoso 17'
โšฝ K. Ando 70'
์˜ˆ์ธก : ํ™ˆ์Šน 90%
โš  ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ์ด๋ณ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ ์ค‘ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ์„ ํƒํ•˜์„ธ์š”.
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ™œ์„ฑ ์‹ ํ˜ธ 3๊ฐœ ๋ˆŒ๋Ÿฌ์„œ ํŽผ์น˜๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (3๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 3๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์˜ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ค๋Š” ์ชฝ์ด ์œ ๋ฆฌํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ๋œป์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค โ€” ์‹ค์ธก(2026-05-24~09-18, 2,520๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ)์—์„œ๋Š” ๊ทธ์ชฝ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ์˜คํžˆ๋ ค ๋œ ๋‚˜์™”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์€ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ๋Œ€์ฒด๋กœ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‚ฎ์€(์ •๋ฐฐ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ) ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ด๊ณ , ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„์„ ๋งž์ถ”๋ฉด ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฐœ์ˆ˜์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  ์ฐจ์ด๋Š” ์—†์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ํ˜ผ๋ž€
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3๊ด€์ (ํ™ˆ/๋ฌด/์›์ •)์ด ์„œ๋กœ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 11.3%p
  • ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ตœ๊ทผํผ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ๋ฆ„๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ํŒ€์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ Mito Hollyhock ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 18.5%p
  • โš” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ์šฐ์„ธ ํŒ€๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆผ โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ FC Tokyo ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 30.1%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฐœ์ˆ˜ = ์ •๋ฐฐ ๊ฐ•๋„์™€ ๊ฑฐ์˜ ๊ฐ™์€ ๊ฐ’ (5๊ฐœ+ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ AI ํ”ฝ 66.9% = ๊ฐ™์€ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ์ •๋ฐฐ 66.9%). ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์œผ๋กœ๋งŒ ๋ณด์„ธ์š”.
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ ์˜ˆ์ธก ํ•ญ๋ชฉ ๋น„๊ต โ€” ํ•ญ๋ชฉ๋งˆ๋‹ค ๋”ฐ๋กœ ๊ณ„์‚ฐํ•ด ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ
๐ŸŽฏ H
90.1%
H 90.1% ยท D 5.4% ยท A 4.4%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค
๐Ÿ›ก 1X
95.5%
1X 95.5% ยท X2 9.8% ยท 12 94.5%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์ 
๐ŸŽฏ NO
52.0%
YES 48.0% ยท NO 52.0% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 1.95 / N 1.8
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
๐Ÿšซ
WINDRAWWIN
โ€”
Prosoccer
โ€”
Forebet
โ€”
โญ Predictor
โ€”
J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ #7 FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock 5:2
ํ™ˆ์Šน 90%
ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 96%
9/10
TRUST
2์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
23
์Šน์ 
6.87
Rating
(J1 League)
VS
6์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
15
์Šน์ 
6.71
Rating
(J1 League)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น(๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ณ€๋™ 2ํšŒ)
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ 1.60 3.20 4.45 1.74โ–ฒ5% 3.48โ–ฒ5% 4.86
์ดˆ๊ธฐ 1.60 3.20 4.45 1.66 3.30 5.00
๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ ํˆฌํ‘œ์œจํ™ˆ 82%๋ฌด 11%์›์ • 7%ํ‘œ๋ณธ 183
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋” 7๊ฐœ ๋ผ์ธ
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.07 89% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 8.5 11%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.33 71% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 3.25 29%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 2.08 45% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.73 55%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 3.75 25% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.25 75%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 8 12% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.08 88%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 17 6% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.02 94%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 34 3% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1 97%
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
์„ ์ˆ˜ ๋ช…๋‹จ & ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
ํ™ˆ ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
4-4-2
FC Tokyo ⭐ 6.87
์›์ • ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
4-4-2
Mito Hollyhock ⭐ 6.71
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
NoneKim Seung-gyu๊ณจํ‚คํผ6.5
NoneSei Muroya์ˆ˜๋น„7.2
NoneAlexander Scholz์ˆ˜๋น„6.5
NoneHayato Inamura์ˆ˜๋น„6.3
NoneKento Hashimoto์ˆ˜๋น„7.1
NoneKein Sato๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.4
NoneKento Hashimoto๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.7
NoneKyota Tokiwa๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.8
NoneKeita Endo๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.8
NoneMarcelo Ryan๊ณต๊ฒฉ9.3
NoneRyunosuke Sato๊ณต๊ฒฉ7.8
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
NoneHayate Tanaka๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
NoneRio Omori 4'์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneMasato Morishige์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneKeigo Higashi๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NoneFuki Yamada๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NoneTakahiro Ko๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NoneTeruhito Nakagawa 29'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.2
NoneLeon Nozawa๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
NoneDivine Chinedu Otani๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
์›์ • ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
NoneKonosuke Nishikawa๊ณจํ‚คํผ5.1
NoneTakumi Mase์ˆ˜๋น„5.7
NoneDanilo Cardoso์ˆ˜๋น„6.1
NoneKenta Itakura์ˆ˜๋น„5.8
NoneTakahiro Iida์ˆ˜๋น„5.4
NoneMatheus Leiria๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”5.9
NoneTaishi Semba๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.5
NoneKoshi Osaki๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.7
NoneMizuki Arai๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.7
NoneTada Keisuke๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.4
NoneArata Watanabe๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.3
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
NoneShuhei Matsubara๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
NoneSho Omori 18'์ˆ˜๋น„6.3
NoneTakeshi Ushizawa์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneYamamota Hayata 29'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.2
NoneKoki Ando 5'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.6
NoneYuto Yamashita๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NoneKiichi Yamazaki๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NoneRyo Nemoto 19'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.6
NoneKoya Okuda๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
๐Ÿ  FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock โœˆ๏ธ
⚽ 17' Danilo Cardoso
⚽ 35' M. Ryan
40' T. Mase
⚽ 43' K. Sato
⚽ PK 45' M. Ryan
45' Danilo Cardoso
🔄 46' T. Nakagawa ← K. Endo
🔄 46' H. Yamamoto ← M. Arai
🔄 55' R. Nemoto ← A. Watanabe
🔄 56' S. Omori ← T. Mase
⚽ 68' S. Muroya
🔄 69' K. Ando ← M. Leiria
⚽ 70' K. Ando
🔄 70' R. Omori ← A. Scholz
⚽ 74' R. Sato
🔄 76' Y. Yamashita ← T. Semba
🔄 83' L. Nozawa ← M. Ryan
🔄 83' F. Yamada ← K. Sato
🔄 88' M. Morishige ← H. Inamura
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
FC Tokyo ํ™ˆ ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
3
์Šน
0
๋ฌด
2
ํŒจ
60%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 60% ๋“ 12 / ์‹ค 10
Mito Hollyhock ์›์ • ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
4
์Šน
0
๋ฌด
1
ํŒจ
80%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 80% ๋“ 12 / ์‹ค 9
H FC Tokyo
WLWLWWWLWW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
W 04.11 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (9์œ„) Yokohama F. Marinos 1 : 3 FC Tokyo (3์œ„) 4.13.61.79
L 04.05 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (2์œ„) FC Tokyo 2 : 4 Machida Zelvia (3์œ„) 2.353.253
W 04.01 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (2์œ„) Machida Zelvia 0 : 3 FC Tokyo (3์œ„) 2.353.13
L 03.22 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (5์œ„) Tokyo Verdy 4 : 2 FC Tokyo (2์œ„) 4.23.11.91
W 03.18 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (9์œ„) JEF United Chiba 1 : 2 FC Tokyo (2์œ„) 4.333.61.76
W 03.14 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Mito Hollyhock 6 : 7 FC Tokyo โ€”
W 03.07 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (6์œ„) FC Tokyo 3 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos (8์œ„) 1.963.43.7
L 02.28 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (5์œ„) FC Tokyo 0 : 2 Kashiwa Reysol (10์œ„) 2.753.252.45
W 02.21 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (2์œ„) Kawasaki Frontale 1 : 2 FC Tokyo (6์œ„) 2.653.52.45
W 02.14 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (5์œ„) FC Tokyo 6 : 4 Urawa Red Diamonds (3์œ„) 2.153.43.1
A Mito Hollyhock
WWWLWLLLWL
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
W 04.19 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ๐ŸŸฅ1 (7์œ„) Mito Hollyhock 2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol (8์œ„)๐ŸŸฅ1 53.251.76
W 04.11 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (10์œ„) JEF United Chiba 3 : 4 Mito Hollyhock (8์œ„) 2.73.12.65
W 04.04 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ๐ŸŸฅ1 (9์œ„) Mito Hollyhock 5 : 3 Kashima Antlers (1์œ„) 43.51.86
L 03.22 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (9์œ„) Kashiwa Reysol 3 : 0 Mito Hollyhock (7์œ„) 1.533.76.25
W 03.18 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (9์œ„) Mito Hollyhock 1 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos (7์œ„) 2.153.33.3
L 03.14 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Mito Hollyhock 6 : 7 FC Tokyo โ€”
L 03.07 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (10์œ„) Urawa Red Diamonds 2 : 0 Mito Hollyhock (18์œ„) 1.763.54.33
L 03.01 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (6์œ„) Kawasaki Frontale 6 : 4 Mito Hollyhock (7์œ„) 1.863.93.5
W 02.22 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ๐ŸŸฅ1 (7์œ„) Mito Hollyhock 6 : 4 JEF United Chiba (8์œ„) 2.053.43.5
L 02.14 J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (4์œ„) Machida Zelvia 6 : 4 Mito Hollyhock (9์œ„) 1.4247
๐Ÿ“Š ์Šคํƒฏ ๋น„๊ต (J1๋ฆฌ๊ทธ)
FC TokyoMito Hollyhock
7.39โญ ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…6.94
8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ˆ˜8
14๋“์ 11
8์‹ค์ 11
12์–ด์‹œ์ŠคํŠธ8
1.8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋‹น ๋“์ 1.4
4.8์œ ํšจ์ŠˆํŒ…/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ3.6
3.1๋น…์ฐฌ์Šค/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ1.3
51.1%์ ์œ ์œจ43.1%
1.0์‹ค์ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ1.4
5ํด๋ฆฐ์‹œํŠธ0
15.4ํƒœํด/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ9.4
9.4์ธํ„ฐ์…‰ํŠธ/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ9.8
1.1๊ฒฝ๊ณ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ1.3
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ด 4๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
ํ™ˆ์Šน ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋†’์Œ (90%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 96%
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ†ต๊ณ„
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
7.13
ํ‰๊ท  ํ‰์ 
6.05
19
์ŠˆํŒ…
9
388
ํŒจ์Šค
372
83.5%
ํŒจ์Šค ์„ฑ๊ณต๋ฅ 
81.2%
15
ํ‚ค ํŒจ์Šค
7
10
ํƒœํด
9
15
ํด๋ฆฌ์–ด๋ง
14
9
๊ณต์ค‘๋ณผ ์„ฑ๊ณต
9
533
ํ„ฐ์น˜
505
24
๋“€์–ผ ์„ฑ๊ณต
26
1
์„ธ์ด๋ธŒ
4