← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2026-02-15 · #18
์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ · 2026-02-15 · 02:45 KST
Excelsior
(์—‘์…€์‹œ์˜ค)
vs
AZ Alkmaar
(์•Œํฌ๋งˆ๋ฅด)
1
:
2
โœ… ์˜ˆ์ธก : ์›์ •์Šน 66%
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (3๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ 9๊ฐ€์ง€ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 3๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์—์„œ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ‰๊ท  60% ์ด์ƒ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์ ์ค‘ํ•œ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ํ˜ผ๋ž€
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3๊ด€์ (ํ™ˆ/๋ฌด/์›์ •)์ด ์„œ๋กœ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 6.9%p
  • โญ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-๋ ˆ์ดํŒ… ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์˜ค๋Š˜ ์ปจ๋””์…˜(๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…)๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ โ†’ Excelsior ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 10.8%p
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์‹œ์ฆŒํ†ต๊ณ„ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์‹œ์ฆŒ ๋“์‹ค๋ ฅ๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ โ†’ AZ Alkmaar ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 18.6%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋งŽ์„์ˆ˜๋ก "์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ" ํฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ALPHA ๋ฐฑํ…Œ์ŠคํŠธ์ƒ 4๊ฐœ+ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  60.24%
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ AI ์—”์ง„ ๋…๋ฆฝ ๋ถ„์„ โ€” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค (๋ชจ๋‘ ํ•ฉ์˜ ์‹œ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ)
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ (ML AI)
๐ŸŽฏ A
65.8%
H 11.3% ยท D 22.8% ยท A 65.8%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค (DL AI)
๐Ÿ›ก X2
88.6%
1X 34.1% ยท X2 88.6% ยท 12 77.1%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„ (OU AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก (HL AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์  (BTTS AI)
๐ŸŽฏ YES
57.6%
YES 57.6% ยท NO 42.4% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 1.62 / N 2.2
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
โ€”
WINDRAWWIN
โ€”
Prosoccer
โ€”
Forebet
โ€”
โญ Predictor
โ€”
์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ #18 Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar 1:2
์›์ •์Šน 66%
๋ฌด/์›์ • (X2) 89%
6/10
TRUST
12์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
26
์Šน์ 
6.74
Rating
(์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ)
VS
7์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
33
์Šน์ 
6.8
Rating
(์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น(๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ณ€๋™ 2ํšŒ)
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 3.00 3.50 2.30
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 4.10 3.80 1.80
๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ ํˆฌํ‘œ์œจํ™ˆ 11%๋ฌด 16%์›์ • 73%ํ‘œ๋ณธ 16,208
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.04 93% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 13 7%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.22 77% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 4 23%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.75 54% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 2.05 46%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 2.75 34% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.4 66%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 5.5 17% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.14 83%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 11 9% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.05 91%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 23 4% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1.01 96%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 7.5 51 2% ์–ธ๋” 7.5 1 98%
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
๐Ÿ  Excelsior
1
์Šน
4
๋ฌด
0
ํŒจ
20%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 100% ๋“ 11 / ์‹ค 16
โœˆ๏ธ AZ Alkmaar
1
์Šน
2
๋ฌด
2
ํŒจ
20%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 60% ๋“ 20 / ์‹ค 12
H Excelsior
DLDLLLLLWD
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
D 04.12 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ (13์œ„) PEC Zwolle 2 : 2 Excelsior (16์œ„)
L 04.05 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ Excelsior 0 : 2 NEC Nijmegen
D 03.21 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ Heracles Almelo 1 : 1 Excelsior
L 03.15 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ Feyenoord 2 : 1 Excelsior
L 03.08 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ Excelsior 1 : 2 SC Heerenveen
L 03.02 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ Excelsior 0 : 1 Go Ahead Eagles
L 02.21 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ Fortuna Sittard 2 : 1 Excelsior
L 02.15 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ Excelsior 1 : 2 AZ Alkmaar
W 02.07 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ NAC Breda 0 : 2 Excelsior
D 02.01 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ (13์œ„) Excelsior 2 : 2 AFC Ajax (4์œ„)
A AZ Alkmaar
DWLWLWWWLW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
D 04.17 UECL AZ Alkmaar 2 : 2 Shakhtar Donetsk
W 04.12 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ (6์œ„) AZ Alkmaar 3 : 0 SC Heerenveen (8์œ„)
L 04.10 UECL Shakhtar Donetsk 3 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
W 04.05 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ AZ Alkmaar 2 : 0 Fortuna Sittard
L 03.23 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ FC Groningen 3 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
W 03.20 UECL AC Sparta Praha 0 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
W 03.15 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ AZ Alkmaar 4 : 0 Heracles Almelo
W 03.13 UECL AZ Alkmaar 2 : 1 AC Sparta Praha
L 03.08 ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ PSV Eindhoven 2 : 1 AZ Alkmaar
W 03.05 KNVB Beker AZ Alkmaar 2 : 1 SC Telstar
์‹œ์ฆŒ ํ†ต๊ณ„ ๋น„๊ต (์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ)
ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…: 6.75ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…: 6.85
Excelsior ํ•ญ๋ชฉ AZ Alkmaar
30 ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ˆ˜ 30
31 ๋“์  52
51 ์‹ค์  45
1.0 ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋‹น ๊ณจ 1.7
5 ํด๋ฆฐ์‹œํŠธ 8
20 ์–ด์‹œ์ŠคํŠธ 34
46.7 ํ‰๊ท  ์ ์œ ์œจ 52.8
363 ์ŠˆํŒ… 467
120 ์œ ํšจ์ŠˆํŒ… 180
77.6 ํŒจ์Šค ์ •ํ™•๋„ 82.0
69 ๋น…์ฐฌ์Šค 101
40 ๊ฒฝ๊ณ  60
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ตœ๊ทผ 10๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
2
Excelsior
2
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€
6
AZ Alkmaar
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
์›์ •์Šน ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋†’์Œ (66%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ๋ฌด/์›์ • (X2) 89%
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
ํ™ˆ ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
5-4-1
Excelsior ⭐ 6.74
์›์ • ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
4-2-3-1
AZ Alkmaar ⭐ 6.8
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
NoneStijn van Gassel๊ณจํ‚คํผ7.3
NoneIlias Bronkhorst์ˆ˜๋น„7.6
NoneCasper Widell์ˆ˜๋น„6.8
NoneLewis Schouten์ˆ˜๋น„7.5
NoneRick Meissen์ˆ˜๋น„6.5
NoneArthur Zagre์ˆ˜๋น„6.1
NoneDerensili Sanches Fernandes๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.2
NoneIrakli Yegoian๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.4
NoneLennard Hartjes๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.0
NoneGyan de Regt๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.3
NoneNoah Naujoks๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.9
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
NoneCalvin Raatsie๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
NoneSimon Janssen 21'์ˆ˜๋น„5.8
NoneStan Henderikx 13'์ˆ˜๋น„6.0
NoneAdam Carlรฉn 13'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.4
NoneChris-Kรฉvin Nadje๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NoneJerolldino Bergraaf 21'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.3
NoneMiliano Jonathans 11'๊ณต๊ฒฉ7.0
NoneEmil Hansson๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
NoneSzymon Wล‚odarczyk๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
NoneMike van Duinen๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
์›์ • ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
NoneJeroen Zoet๊ณจํ‚คํผ6.8
NoneMees de Wit์ˆ˜๋น„6.3
NoneWouter Goes์ˆ˜๋น„7.1
NoneAlexandre Penetra์ˆ˜๋น„8.6
NoneMateo Chรกvez์ˆ˜๋น„6.2
NoneKasper Boogaard๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.2
NoneRio Robbemond๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.2
NoneWeslley Patati๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.4
NoneTroy Parrott๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.5
NoneRo-Zangelo Daal๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.7
NoneJizz Hornkamp๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.7
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
NoneJur Schipper๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
NoneHobie Verhulst๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
NoneElijah Dijkstra 45'์ˆ˜๋น„6.9
NoneRion Ichihara์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneBilly van Duijl์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneMaxim Dekker์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneSven Mijnans 33'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.2
NoneMatฤ›j ล รญn๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NoneIsak Steiner Jensen 45'๊ณต๊ฒฉ7.3
NoneIbrahim Sadiq 45'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.3
NoneMexx Meerdink 20'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.9
NoneAyoub Oufkir๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
๐Ÿ  Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar โœˆ๏ธ
20' I. Bronkhorst
29' M. Chรกvez
⚽ 45' I. Bronkhorst
🔄 46' I. Sadiq ← W. Patati
🔄 46' I. S. Jensen ← R. Daal
🔄 46' E. Dijkstra ← M. Chรกvez
🔄 57' S. Mijnans ← J. Hornkamp
🔄 69' S. Janssen ← I. Bronkhorst
🔄 69' J. Bergraaf ← N. Naujoks
70' R. Robbemond
🔄 70' M. Meerdink ← R. Robbemond
🔄 79' M. Jonathans ← D. S. Fernandes
🔄 84' S. Henderikx ← L. Schouten
🔄 84' A. Carlรฉn ← L. Hartjes
⚽ 90' A. Penetra
⚽ 90' T. Parrott
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ†ต๊ณ„
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
6.96
ํ‰๊ท  ํ‰์ 
6.88
11
์ŠˆํŒ…
16
447
ํŒจ์Šค
557
81.9%
ํŒจ์Šค ์„ฑ๊ณต๋ฅ 
84.2%
9
ํ‚ค ํŒจ์Šค
14
10
ํƒœํด
12
18
ํด๋ฆฌ์–ด๋ง
19
13
๊ณต์ค‘๋ณผ ์„ฑ๊ณต
17
630
ํ„ฐ์น˜
722
46
๋“€์–ผ ์„ฑ๊ณต
45
5
์„ธ์ด๋ธŒ
1
์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
์ด 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ 5 (62%) ๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 3 (38%) โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 0 (0%)
2025-05-11 | ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3.00 / 3.90 / 2.10
Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven 2:3
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 100%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2025-08-31 | ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3.30 / 3.50 / 2.15
PEC Zwolle vs FC Utrecht 0:2
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 40%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 40%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2025-11-23 | ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.50 / 3.70 / 2.63
Heracles Almelo vs Go Ahead Eagles 4:2
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 25%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 0%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2025-12-06 | ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3.50 / 3.60 / 2.05
Excelsior vs FC Groningen 0:2
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 0%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2025-12-21 | ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3.50 / 3.50 / 2.05
Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen 1:1
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 40%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 0%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 33%
2025-12-22 | ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.88 / 3.70 / 2.30
FC Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam 0:1
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 80%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 76%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2026-01-11 | ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.80 / 3.75 / 2.35
SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord 2:2
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2026-02-02 | ์—๋ ˆ๋””๋น„์‹œ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3.10 / 3.50 / 2.20
FC Volendam vs Go Ahead Eagles 1:1
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 25%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 80%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%