← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2025-12-03 · #13
DFB Pokal · 2025-12-03 · 05:00 KST
Dortmund
(๋„๋ฅดํŠธ๋ฌธ)
vs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
(๋ ˆ๋ฒ„์ฟ ์  )
0
:
1
โš  ์˜ˆ์ธก : ์›์ •์Šน 58%
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (2๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ 9๊ฐ€์ง€ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 2๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์—์„œ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ‰๊ท  60% ์ด์ƒ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์ ์ค‘ํ•œ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ํ˜ผ๋ž€
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3๊ด€์ (ํ™ˆ/๋ฌด/์›์ •)์ด ์„œ๋กœ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 6.3%p
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์‹œ์ฆŒํ†ต๊ณ„ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์‹œ์ฆŒ ๋“์‹ค๋ ฅ๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ โ†’ Bayer 04 Leverkusen ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 29.0%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋งŽ์„์ˆ˜๋ก "์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ" ํฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ALPHA ๋ฐฑํ…Œ์ŠคํŠธ์ƒ 4๊ฐœ+ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  60.24%
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ AI ์—”์ง„ ๋…๋ฆฝ ๋ถ„์„ โ€” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค (๋ชจ๋‘ ํ•ฉ์˜ ์‹œ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ)
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ (ML AI)
๐ŸŽฏ A
57.8%
H 10.7% ยท D 31.5% ยท A 57.8%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค (DL AI)
๐Ÿ›ก X2
89.3%
1X 42.2% ยท X2 89.3% ยท 12 68.5%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„ (OU AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก (HL AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์  (BTTS AI)
๐ŸŽฏ YES
58.9%
YES 58.9% ยท NO 41.1% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 1.57 / N 2.25
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
โ€”
WINDRAWWIN
โ€”
Prosoccer
โ€”
Forebet
โ€”
โญ Predictor
โ€”
DFB Pokal #13 Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0:1
์›์ •์Šน 58%
๋ฌด/์›์ • (X2) 89%
5/10
TRUST
โšฝ ํ† ๋„ˆ๋จผํŠธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์ˆœ์œ„/์Šน์  ์—†์Œ
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น(๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ณ€๋™ 2ํšŒ)
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.83 4.00 3.70
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.95 4.00 3.30
๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ ํˆฌํ‘œ์œจํ™ˆ 73%๋ฌด 14%์›์ • 13%ํ‘œ๋ณธ 37,886
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.02 94% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 17 6%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.17 81% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 5 19%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.57 60% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 2.35 40%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 2.38 39% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.53 61%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 4.33 22% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.2 78%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 9 11% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.07 89%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 19 5% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1.02 95%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 7.5 34 3% ์–ธ๋” 7.5 1 97%
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
๐Ÿ  Borussia Dortmund
5
์Šน
1
๋ฌด
4
ํŒจ
50%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 60% ๋“ 17 / ์‹ค 15
โœˆ๏ธ Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3
์Šน
5
๋ฌด
2
ํŒจ
30%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 80% ๋“ 18 / ์‹ค 16
H Borussia Dortmund
LLWWWWLLDW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
L 04.18 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ (6์œ„) TSG Hoffenheim 2 : 1 Borussia Dortmund (2์œ„)
L 04.11 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ Borussia Dortmund 0 : 1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 04.05 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ VfB Stuttgart 0 : 2 Borussia Dortmund
W 03.22 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ Borussia Dortmund 3 : 2 Hamburger SV
W 03.14 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ Borussia Dortmund 2 : 0 FC Augsburg
W 03.08 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ 1. FC Kรถln 1 : 2 Borussia Dortmund
L 03.01 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ Borussia Dortmund 2 : 3 FC Bayern Mรผnchen
L 02.26 UCL Atalanta 4 : 1 Borussia Dortmund
D 02.22 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ (5์œ„) RB Leipzig 2 : 2 Borussia Dortmund (2์œ„)
W 02.18 UCL Borussia Dortmund 2 : 0 Atalanta
A Bayer 04 Leverkusen
LWWDLDDDWD
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
L 04.18 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ (5์œ„) Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 : 2 FC Augsburg (10์œ„)
W 04.11 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ Borussia Dortmund 0 : 1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 04.04 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 : 3 VfL Wolfsburg
D 03.21 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ 1. FC Heidenheim 3 : 3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 03.18 UCL Arsenal 2 : 0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 03.14 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 : 1 FC Bayern Mรผnchen
D 03.12 UCL Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 : 1 Arsenal
D 03.07 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ SC Freiburg 3 : 3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 03.05 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ Hamburger SV 0 : 1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 02.28 ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 : 1 1. FSV Mainz 05
์‹œ์ฆŒ ํ†ต๊ณ„ ๋น„๊ต (DFB Pokal)
ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…: 6.97ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…: 7.26
Borussia Dortmund ํ•ญ๋ชฉ Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3 ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ˆ˜ 4
2 ๋“์  12
2 ์‹ค์  2
0.7 ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋‹น ๊ณจ 3.0
1 ํด๋ฆฐ์‹œํŠธ 3
2 ์–ด์‹œ์ŠคํŠธ 8
58.3 ํ‰๊ท  ์ ์œ ์œจ 59
46 ์ŠˆํŒ… 63
11 ์œ ํšจ์ŠˆํŒ… 29
85.4 ํŒจ์Šค ์ •ํ™•๋„ 88.7
4 ๋น…์ฐฌ์Šค 20
7 ๊ฒฝ๊ณ  7
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ตœ๊ทผ 10๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
4
Borussia Dortmund
2
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€
4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
์›์ •์Šน ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋ณดํ†ต+ (58%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ๋ฌด/์›์ • (X2) 89%
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
ํ™ˆ ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
3-4-3
Borussia Dortmund
์›์ • ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
3-4-2-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
NoneGregor Kobel๊ณจํ‚คํผ6.8
NoneEmre Can์ˆ˜๋น„8.2
NoneWaldemar Anton์ˆ˜๋น„7.4
NoneNico Schlotterbeck์ˆ˜๋น„6.9
NoneJulian Ryerson๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.8
NoneJobe Bellingham๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.6
NoneFelix Nmecha๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.6
NoneDaniel Svensson๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.0
NoneKarim Adeyemi๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.9
NoneFรกbio Silva๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.6
NoneCarney Chukwuemeka๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.6
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
NoneAlexander Meyer๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
NoneRamy Bensebaini 12'์ˆ˜๋น„6.8
NoneAarรณn Anselmino์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneYan Couto์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneJulian Brandt 23'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.8
NonePascal GroรŸ 16'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.8
NoneMarcel Sabitzer๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NoneSerhou Guirassy 23'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.5
NoneMaximilian Beier 23'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.6
์›์ • ์„ ๋ฐœ
# ์„ ์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ํ‰์ 
NoneMark Flekken๊ณจํ‚คํผ7.9
NoneJarell Quansah์ˆ˜๋น„7.1
NoneRobert Andrich์ˆ˜๋น„7.5
NoneEdmond Tapsoba์ˆ˜๋น„7.5
NoneJonas Hofmann๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.3
NoneIbrahim Maza๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”8.1
NoneAleix Garcรญa๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.9
NoneAlejandro Grimaldo๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”7.0
NoneMartin Terrier๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.8
NoneErnest Poku๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.5
NoneChristian Kofane๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.6
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
NoneNiklas Lomb๊ณจํ‚คํผ-
NoneLoรฏc Badรฉ 1'์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneJeanuรซl Belocian์ˆ˜๋น„-
NoneMalik Tillman 29'๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”6.6
NoneClaudio Echeverri๋ฏธ๋“œํ•„๋”-
NonePatrik Schick 29'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.5
NoneNathan Tella 15'๊ณต๊ฒฉ6.4
NoneEliesse Ben Seghir๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
NoneAlejo Sarco๊ณต๊ฒฉ-
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
๐Ÿ  Borussia Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen โœˆ๏ธ
⚽ 34' I. Maza
🔄 61' P. Schick ← C. Kofane
🔄 61' M. Tillman ← M. Terrier
🔄 67' J. Brandt ← F. Silva
🔄 67' M. Beier ← C. Chukwuemeka
🔄 67' S. Guirassy ← J. Ryerson
68' W. Anton
71' J. Bellingham
🔄 74' P. GroรŸ ← F. Nmecha
75' R. Andrich
🔄 83' N. Tella ← E. Poku
🔄 86' R. Bensebaini ← D. Svensson
87' M. Tillman
90' E. Can
🔄 90' L. Badรฉ ← J. Hofmann
๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ†ต๊ณ„
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
6.85
ํ‰๊ท  ํ‰์ 
7.29
20
์ŠˆํŒ…
6
539
ํŒจ์Šค
424
85.7%
ํŒจ์Šค ์„ฑ๊ณต๋ฅ 
81.8%
15
ํ‚ค ํŒจ์Šค
4
14
ํƒœํด
23
7
ํด๋ฆฌ์–ด๋ง
56
17
๊ณต์ค‘๋ณผ ์„ฑ๊ณต
16
757
ํ„ฐ์น˜
630
53
๋“€์–ผ ์„ฑ๊ณต
49
1
์„ธ์ด๋ธŒ
4
์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš 
๋ฌด/์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ 
๋น„์Šทํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ค‘ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 3๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(38%) + ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 4๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(50%)๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์— ๊ทธ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋ฒ ํŒ…ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค ์›์ •ํŒ€ / ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ / ํ•ธ๋””์บก๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜์„ธ์š”.
์ด 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ 1 (12%) ๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 3 (38%) โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 4 (50%)
2026-04-11 | ๋ถ„๋ฐ์Šค๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.00 / 3.50 / 3.00
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0:1
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ๋™์ผ ๋งค์น˜์—…
2025-10-29 | DFB Pokal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.73 / 4.00 / 4.20
VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel 0:1
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 67%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 17%
2025-10-29 | DFB Pokal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.55 / 4.50 / 5.00
FC Augsburg vs VfL Bochum 1848 0:1
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 7%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 33%
2025-10-30 | DFB Pokal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.62 / 4.20 / 5.00
1. FC Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld 1:1
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 30%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2025-12-03 | DFB Pokal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.70 / 3.60 / 4.75
Borussia M'gladbach vs FC St. Pauli 1:2
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 57%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 0%
2025-12-03 | DFB Pokal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.90 / 3.80 / 3.70
Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6:1
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 77%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 33%
2025-12-04 | DFB Pokal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.70 / 3.90 / 4.50
Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel 0:0
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 57%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 0%
2026-04-24 | DFB Pokal ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.60 / 4.00 / 5.00
VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg 1:1
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 23%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 33%