← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2025-09-20 · #31
J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ · 2025-09-20 · 19:00 KST
Sagan Tosu
(์‚ฌ๊ฐ„๋„์Šค)
vs
Roasso Kumamoto
(๋กœ์•„์†Œ์ฟ ๋งˆ๋ชจํ† )
4
:
2
์˜ˆ์ธก : ํ™ˆ์Šน 69%
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ™œ์„ฑ ์‹ ํ˜ธ 3๊ฐœ ๋ˆŒ๋Ÿฌ์„œ ํŽผ์น˜๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (3๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 3๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์˜ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ค๋Š” ์ชฝ์ด ์œ ๋ฆฌํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ๋œป์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค โ€” ์‹ค์ธก(2026-05-24~09-18, 2,520๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ)์—์„œ๋Š” ๊ทธ์ชฝ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ์˜คํžˆ๋ ค ๋œ ๋‚˜์™”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์€ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ๋Œ€์ฒด๋กœ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‚ฎ์€(์ •๋ฐฐ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ) ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ด๊ณ , ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„์„ ๋งž์ถ”๋ฉด ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฐœ์ˆ˜์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  ์ฐจ์ด๋Š” ์—†์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ํ˜ผ๋ž€
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3๊ด€์ (ํ™ˆ/๋ฌด/์›์ •)์ด ์„œ๋กœ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 5.8%p
  • โš” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ์šฐ์„ธ ํŒ€๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆผ โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ Sagan Tosu ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 20.7%p
  • ๐Ÿ† ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์Šน์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์‹œ์ฆŒ ์Šน์  ์ฐจ์™€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ ๋ถˆ์ผ์น˜ โ†’ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ธฐ๋ก์€ Sagan Tosu ์ชฝ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 10.8%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฐœ์ˆ˜ = ์ •๋ฐฐ ๊ฐ•๋„์™€ ๊ฑฐ์˜ ๊ฐ™์€ ๊ฐ’ (5๊ฐœ+ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ AI ํ”ฝ 66.9% = ๊ฐ™์€ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ์ •๋ฐฐ 66.9%). ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์œผ๋กœ๋งŒ ๋ณด์„ธ์š”.
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ ์˜ˆ์ธก ํ•ญ๋ชฉ ๋น„๊ต โ€” ํ•ญ๋ชฉ๋งˆ๋‹ค ๋”ฐ๋กœ ๊ณ„์‚ฐํ•ด ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ
๐ŸŽฏ H
69.0%
H 69.0% ยท D 11.7% ยท A 19.3%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค
๐Ÿ›ก 12
88.3%
1X 80.7% ยท X2 31.0% ยท 12 88.3%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์ 
๐ŸŽฏ YES
51.5%
YES 51.5% ยท NO 48.5% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 1.8 / N 1.91
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
โ€”
WINDRAWWIN
โ€”
Prosoccer
โ€”
Forebet
โ€”
โญ Predictor
โ€”
J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ #31 Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto 4:2
ํ™ˆ์Šน 69%
ํ™ˆ์Šน/์›์ • (12) 88%
6/10
TRUST
8์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
46
์Šน์ 
-
Rating
(J2 League)
VS
16์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
33
์Šน์ 
-
Rating
(J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น(๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ณ€๋™ 2ํšŒ)
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 2.10 3.30โ–ฒ3% 3.25
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 2.10 3.20 3.30
๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ ํˆฌํ‘œ์œจํ™ˆ 71%๋ฌด 22%์›์ • 7%ํ‘œ๋ณธ 935
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋” 7๊ฐœ ๋ผ์ธ
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.06 90% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 10 10%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.33 71% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 3.25 29%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 2.08 45% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.73 55%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 3.75 25% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.25 75%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 8 12% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.08 88%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 17 6% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.02 94%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 34 3% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1 97%
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
์„ ์ˆ˜ ๋ช…๋‹จ & ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ โ€” Sagan Tosu (5-3-2)
G Ryota Izumori
D Shiva Tafari Nagasawa
D Taisei Inoue
D Yuta Imazu
D Sora Ogawa
D Haruki Arai
M Kenta Nishizawa
M Nagi Matsumoto
M Vykintas Slivka
F Jun Nishikawa
F Noriyoshi Sakai
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Kei Uchiyama โ†ฉ
D Fumiya Kitajima โ†ฉ
M Hiroto Yamada โ†ฉ
M Kento Nishiya โ†ฉ
M Shota Hino โ†ฉ
M Makito Uehara โ†ฉ
M Yoshiki Narahara โ†ฉ
F Shion Shinkawa โ†ฉ
F Daichi Suzuki โ†ฉ
์›์ • โ€” Roasso Kumamoto (3-4-3)
G Shibuki Sato
D Ryotaro Onishi
D Yutaro Hakamata
D Thae-ha Ri
M Yuki Omoto
M Koya Fujii
M Shohei Mishima
M Wataru Iwashita
F Ryo Shiohama
F Keito Kumashiro
F Chihiro Konagaya
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Yuya Sato โ†ฉ
D Kohei Kuroki โ†ฉ
M Kaito Abe โ†ฉ
M Yuhi Takemoto โ†ฉ
M Akira Iihoshi โ†ฉ
M Keita Negishi โ†ฉ
F Masato Handai โ†ฉ
F Shun Osaki โ†ฉ
F Rimu Matsuoka โ†ฉ
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
Sagan Tosu ํ™ˆ ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
4
์Šน
0
๋ฌด
1
ํŒจ
80%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 80% ๋“ 26 / ์‹ค 18
Roasso Kumamoto ์›์ • ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
4
์Šน
0
๋ฌด
1
ํŒจ
80%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 80% ๋“ 7 / ์‹ค 3
H Sagan Tosu
WWLWWWLWWW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
W 05.06 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (3์œ„) Sagan Tosu 4 : 0 Gainare Tottori (7์œ„) 1.573.85
W 05.02 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (4์œ„) Sagan Tosu 7 : 6 Tegevajaro Miyazaki (1์œ„) 2.532.6
L 04.29 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (2์œ„) Kagoshima United 12 : 11 Sagan Tosu (3์œ„) 2.13.13.25
W 04.25 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (3์œ„) Sagan Tosu 2 : 0 Reilac Shiga FC (7์œ„) 1.573.84.75
W 04.19 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Roasso Kumamoto 0 : 2 Sagan Tosu โ€”
W 04.12 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Giravanz Kitakyushu 0 : 1 Sagan Tosu โ€”
L 04.05 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Sagan Tosu 0 : 1 Oita Trinita โ€”
W 03.29 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Gainare Tottori 0 : 2 Sagan Tosu โ€”
W 03.22 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Reilac Shiga FC 0 : 2 Sagan Tosu โ€”
W 03.14 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Sagan Tosu 1 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu โ€”
A Roasso Kumamoto
WWWWLLWLLL
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด ๋ฐฐ๋‹น
W 05.06 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (8์œ„) Giravanz Kitakyushu 1 : 2 Roasso Kumamoto (5์œ„) 2.383.22.75
W 05.03 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (5์œ„) Roasso Kumamoto 2 : 0 Reilac Shiga FC (8์œ„) 1.73.54.1
W 04.29 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (5์œ„) Oita Trinita 0 : 1 Roasso Kumamoto (6์œ„) 2.053.13.5
W 04.25 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ (8์œ„) Gainare Tottori 0 : 2 Roasso Kumamoto (6์œ„) 2.93.22.2
L 04.19 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Roasso Kumamoto 0 : 2 Sagan Tosu โ€”
L 04.12 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Roasso Kumamoto 0 : 5 Tegevajaro Miyazaki โ€”
W 04.04 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ FC Ryukyu 0 : 1 Roasso Kumamoto โ€”
L 03.29 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Roasso Kumamoto 0 : 1 Kagoshima United โ€”
L 03.21 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1 : 0 Roasso Kumamoto โ€”
L 03.15 J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ Roasso Kumamoto 0 : 1 Gainare Tottori โ€”
๐Ÿ“Š ์Šคํƒฏ ๋น„๊ต (J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ)
Sagan TosuRoasso Kumamoto
-โญ ํ‰๊ท  ๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…-
9๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ˆ˜-
8๋“์ -
12์‹ค์ -
7์–ด์‹œ์ŠคํŠธ-
0.9๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋‹น ๋“์ -
57.4%์ ์œ ์œจ-
1.3์‹ค์ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ-
3ํด๋ฆฐ์‹œํŠธ-
42.1์ธํ„ฐ์…‰ํŠธ/๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ-
0.9๊ฒฝ๊ณ /๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ-
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ตœ๊ทผ 10๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
7
Sagan Tosu
70%
1
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€
10%
2
Roasso Kumamoto
20%
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
ํ™ˆ์Šน ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋†’์Œ (69%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ํ™ˆ์Šน/์›์ • (12) 88%
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -
์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš 
๋ฌด/์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ 
๋น„์Šทํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ค‘ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 2๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(40%) + ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(40%)๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์— ๊ทธ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋ฒ ํŒ…ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค ์›์ •ํŒ€ / ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ / ํ•ธ๋””์บก๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜์„ธ์š”.
์ด 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ 1 (20%) ๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 2 (40%) โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2 (40%) ํ‘œ๋ณธ ์ถฉ๋ถ„๋„ 56%
ํ‘œ๋ณธ ์ถฉ๋ถ„๋„ = ์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ‘œ๋ณธ์ด ์–ผ๋งˆ๋‚˜ ์Œ“์˜€๋Š”์ง€๋ฅผ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ด๋Š” ๊ฐ’์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์˜ˆ์ธก ์ ์ค‘ ํ™•๋ฅ ์ด๋‚˜ ํ†ต๊ณ„์  ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
2025-05-11 | J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.10 / 3.50 / 3.10
Jubilo Iwata vs Fujieda MYFC 1:0
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 100%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2025-08-23 | J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.15 / 3.40 / 3.20
Ventforet Kofu vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1:2
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 67%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2026-05-16 | J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.15 / 3.25 / 2.90
Jubilo Iwata vs Fujieda MYFC 0:3
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 67%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2026-05-16 | J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.05 / 3.00 / 3.40
Ventforet Kofu vs FC Gifu 2:2
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 67%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2026-09-05 | J2๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.09 / 3.06 / 3.39
Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure Hachinohe 0:0
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 93%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%