← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2025-08-10 · #13
MLS · 2025-08-10 · 08:30 KST
Philadelphia Union
(ํ•„๋ผ๋ธํ”ผ์•„)
USA
vs
Toronto FC
(ํ† ๋ก ํ† )
Canada
1
:
1
โš  ์˜ˆ์ธก : ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 60%
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (4๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ 9๊ฐ€์ง€ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 4๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์—์„œ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ‰๊ท  60% ์ด์ƒ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์ ์ค‘ํ•œ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๐Ÿ”€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ํ˜ผ๋ž€
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3๊ด€์ (ํ™ˆ/๋ฌด/์›์ •)์ด ์„œ๋กœ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ด โ†’ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 5.3%p
  • โš” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ์šฐ์„ธ ํŒ€๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆผ โ†’ Toronto FC ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 27.0%p
  • โญ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-๋ ˆ์ดํŒ… ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์˜ค๋Š˜ ์ปจ๋””์…˜(๋ ˆ์ดํŒ…)๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฆ„ โ†’ Toronto FC ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 17.0%p
  • โšฝ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-BTTS ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์–‘ํŒ€ ๋“์  ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ 1X2 ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ์‹œ๋‚˜๋ฆฌ์˜ค โ†’ Toronto FC ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 17.5%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋งŽ์„์ˆ˜๋ก "์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ" ํฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ALPHA ๋ฐฑํ…Œ์ŠคํŠธ์ƒ 4๊ฐœ+ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  60.24%
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ AI ์—”์ง„ ๋…๋ฆฝ ๋ถ„์„ โ€” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค (๋ชจ๋‘ ํ•ฉ์˜ ์‹œ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ)
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ (ML AI)
๐ŸŽฏ D
59.8%
H 28.6% ยท D 59.8% ยท A 11.6%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค (DL AI)
๐Ÿ›ก 1X
88.4%
1X 88.4% ยท X2 71.4% ยท 12 40.2%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„ (OU AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก (HL AI)
๐Ÿ“ away
52.6%
ํ™ˆ 47.4% ยท ์›์ • 52.6% ยท ๋ผ์ธ -1.5 ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น H 2 / A 1.8
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์  (BTTS AI)
๐ŸŽฏ YES
50.0%
YES 50.0% ยท NO 50.0% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 1.91 / N 1.91
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
โ€”
WINDRAWWIN
โ€”
Prosoccer
โ€”
Forebet
โ€”
โญ Predictor
โ€”
MLS #13 Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC 1:1
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 60%
ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 88%
์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” -1.5
5/10
TRUST
29์œ„ (1์œ„)
์ˆœ์œ„ (์ „์ฒด/๊ทธ๋ฃน)
50
์Šน์ 
6.99
Rating
(MLS)
VS
14์œ„ (12์œ„)
์ˆœ์œ„ (์ „์ฒด/๊ทธ๋ฃน)
21
์Šน์ 
6.88
Rating
(MLS)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น(๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ณ€๋™ 2ํšŒ)
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.40 4.75 7.00
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 1.57 4.00 5.50
๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ ํˆฌํ‘œ์œจํ™ˆ 83%๋ฌด 10%์›์ • 7%ํ‘œ๋ณธ 8,920
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.02 94% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 17 6%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.17 81% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 5 19%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.57 60% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 2.35 40%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 2.38 39% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.53 61%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 4.33 22% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.2 78%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 9 11% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.07 89%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 17 6% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1.02 94%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 7.5 34 3% ์–ธ๋” 7.5 1 97%
MLS โ€” Group Combined ์ˆœ์œ„ํ‘œ
๋ผ์šด๋“œ ์‹œ์ž‘ ์ „ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ์ˆœ์œ„
# ํŒ€ ์Šน์  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์Šน ๋ฌด ํŒจ ๋“์  ์‹ค์  ๋“์‹ค
1 Nashville SC 30 13 9 3 1 29 10 +19
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 29 13 9 2 2 30 10 +20
3 San Jose Earthquakes 29 14 9 2 3 31 14 +17
4 Inter Miami CF 28 14 8 4 2 33 24 +9
5 Real Salt Lake 25 13 8 1 4 25 18 +7
6 New England Revolution 25 13 8 1 4 22 17 +5
7 Seattle Sounders 24 12 7 3 2 17 10 +7
8 Chicago Fire 23 13 7 2 4 25 15 +10
9 FC Dallas 22 14 6 4 4 28 21 +7
10 Houston Dynamo 21 13 7 0 6 18 22 -4
11 Los Angeles FC 21 14 6 3 5 23 17 +6
12 Minnesota United 21 14 6 3 5 17 21 -4
13 New York City FC 19 14 5 4 5 24 19 +5
14 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 14 5 4 5 21 21 0
15 New York Red Bulls 19 14 5 4 5 23 31 -8
16 Charlotte FC 18 14 5 3 6 23 23 0
17 San Diego 17 14 4 5 5 28 23 +5
18 DC United 17 14 4 5 5 17 21 -4
19 FC Cincinnati 17 14 4 5 5 30 35 -5
20 Colorado Rapids 16 14 5 1 8 24 22 +2
21 Portland Timbers 14 13 4 2 7 21 25 -4
22 Orlando City SC 14 14 4 2 8 21 38 -17
23 Toronto FC 14 13 3 5 5 21 27 -6
24 Austin FC 14 14 3 5 6 19 28 -9
25 Montreal Impact 13 13 4 1 8 18 27 -9
26 Columbus Crew 13 14 3 4 7 19 23 -4
27 Saint Louis City 13 13 3 4 6 13 20 -7
28 Atlanta United 11 13 3 2 8 14 21 -7
29 Sporting Kansas City 11 13 3 2 8 13 34 -21
30 Philadelphia Union 7 14 1 4 9 14 24 -10
Supporters Shield ํ›„๋ณดRound 1 ์ž๋™ ์ง„์ถœWild Card
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
๐Ÿ  Philadelphia Union
3
์Šน
1
๋ฌด
1
ํŒจ
60%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 80% ๋“ 9 / ์‹ค 15
โœˆ๏ธ Toronto FC
1
์Šน
1
๋ฌด
3
ํŒจ
20%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 40% ๋“ 17 / ์‹ค 17
H Philadelphia Union
DLDDWLLDLL
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
D 05.03 MLS (15์œ„) Philadelphia Union 0 : 0 Nashville SC (1์œ„)
L 04.26 MLS (9์œ„) Columbus Crew 2 : 0 Philadelphia Union (14์œ„)
D 04.23 MLS (6์œ„) Toronto FC 3 : 3 Philadelphia Union (13์œ„)
D 04.19 MLS (14์œ„) Philadelphia Union 0 : 0 DC United (9์œ„)
W 04.12 MLS CF Montrรฉal 1 : 2 Philadelphia Union (29์œ„)
L 04.05 MLS Charlotte FC 2 : 1 Philadelphia Union
L 03.22 MLS Philadelphia Union 1 : 2 Chicago Fire
D 03.19 CONCACAF CC Club Amรฉrica 1 : 1 Philadelphia Union
L 03.15 MLS Atlanta United 3 : 1 Philadelphia Union
L 03.11 CONCACAF CC Philadelphia Union 0 : 1 Club Amรฉrica
A Toronto FC
LDLDDDWWDW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
L 05.06 Canadian Championship Toronto FC 1 : 3 Atlรฉtico Ottawa
D 05.03 MLS (6์œ„) Toronto FC 1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes (1์œ„)
L 04.26 MLS (6์œ„) Toronto FC 1 : 2 Atlanta United (15์œ„)
D 04.23 MLS (6์œ„) Toronto FC 3 : 3 Philadelphia Union (13์œ„)
D 04.19 MLS (6์œ„) Toronto FC 3 : 3 Austin FC (13์œ„)
D 04.12 MLS (14์œ„) Toronto FC 1 : 1 FC Cincinnati (19์œ„)๐ŸŸฅ1
W 04.05 MLS Toronto FC 3 : 2 Colorado Rapids
W 03.22 MLS Toronto FC 2 : 1 Columbus Crew
D 03.15 MLS Toronto FC 1 : 1 New York Red Bulls
W 03.09 MLS FC Cincinnati 0 : 1 Toronto FC
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ด 34๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๐Ÿ“ฅ ์ˆ˜๊ธฐ
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋ณดํ†ต+ (60%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 88%
ํ•ธ๋””์บก: ์›์ • ํ•ธ๋”” -1.5
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ โ€” Philadelphia Union (4-2-3-1)
G Andre Blake
D Nathan Harriel
D Jakob Glesnes
D Olwethu Makhanya
D Kai Wagner
M Jesus Bueno
M Danley Jean Jacques
M Indiana Vassilev
M Bruno Damiani
M Quinn Sullivan
F Tai Baribo
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Andrew Rick โ†ฉ
D Olivier Mbaizo โ†ฉ
D Frankie Westfield โ†ฉ
M Jovan Lukiฤ‡ โ†ฉ
M Alejandro Bedoya โ†ฉ
M Cavan Sullivan โ†ฉ
M Jeremy Rafanello โ†ฉ
F Mikael Uhre โ†ฉ
F Milan Iloski โ†ฉ
์›์ • โ€” Toronto FC (3-2-4-1)
G Luka Gavran
D Sigurd Rosted
D Kevin Long
D Raoul Petretta
M Deybi Flores
M Alonso Coello
M Jonathan Osorio
M ฤorฤ‘e Mihailoviฤ‡
F Richie Laryea
F Theo Corbeanu
F Ola Brynhildsen
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Adisa De Rosario โ†ฉ
D Lazar Stefanovic โ†ฉ
D Kobe Franklin โ†ฉ
M Maxime Dominguez โ†ฉ
M Malik Henry โ†ฉ
M Kosi Thompson โ†ฉ
M Matthew Longstaff โ†ฉ
F Deandre Kerr โ†ฉ
F Derrick Etienne โ†ฉ
์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš 
๋ฌด/์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ 
๋น„์Šทํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ค‘ ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 3๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(38%) + ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(25%)๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์— ๊ทธ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋ฒ ํŒ…ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค ์›์ •ํŒ€ / ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ / ํ•ธ๋””์บก๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜์„ธ์š”.
์ด 8๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ 3 (38%) ๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 3 (38%) โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 2 (25%)
2026-04-23 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.35 / 3.40 / 2.85
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union 3:3
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  100%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 67%
2025-05-18 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.55 / 3.90 / 5.75
Nashville SC vs DC United 0:0
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 25%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 50%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 0%
2025-05-29 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.57 / 4.10 / 5.50
FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas 3:3
๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 25%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 43%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2025-06-01 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.45 / 4.50 / 7.00
FC Cincinnati vs DC United 1:2
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 75%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 83%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 100%
2025-06-01 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.67 / 4.20 / 4.50
Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire 1:3
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 25%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 10%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 0%
2025-06-09 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.65 / 4.20 / 5.00
Portland Timbers vs St.Louis City 2:1
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 80%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 17%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 52%
2025-07-13 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.38 / 5.25 / 7.50
Los Angeles FC vs FC Dallas 2:0
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 93%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 0%
2025-07-17 | MLS ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 1.42 / 5.00 / 6.50
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montrรฉal 2:1
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 40%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 0%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 93%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 0%