← ๋Œ€์‹œ๋ณด๋“œ | 2025-06-10 · #16
AFC Asian Cup Qual. · 2025-06-10 · 20:00 KST
Philippines
(ํ•„๋ฆฌํ•€)
vs
Tajikistan
(ํƒ€์ง€ํ‚ค์Šคํƒ„)
2
:
2
์˜ˆ์ธก : ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 54%
FIFA Rankings
#135
Philippines
#103
Tajikistan
🚨 ์ฃผ์˜ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โš  ์ง€ํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ (2๊ฐœ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ํ™œ์„ฑ)
ALPHA ์—”์ง„์˜ 9๊ฐ€์ง€ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ์ค‘ 2๊ฐœ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฆฌํ‚ต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์—์„œ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋Š” ํ‰๊ท  60% ์ด์ƒ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์ ์ค‘ํ•œ ๊ธฐ๋ก์ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • โš” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น-์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ๊ดด๋ฆฌ
    โ”” ์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  ์šฐ์„ธ ํŒ€๊ณผ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ์—‡๊ฐˆ๋ฆผ โ†’ Philippines ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 10.8%p
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋ณ€๋™ ๊ฐ์ง€
    โ”” ์ดˆ๊ธฐโ†’์ตœ์ข… ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์ด ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์›€์ง์ž„ (์Šค๋งˆํŠธ๋จธ๋‹ˆ) โ†’ Philippines ์œ ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ
    โ”” ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๊ณผ ์ฐจ์ด: 11.4%p
๐Ÿ“Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋งŽ์„์ˆ˜๋ก "์‹œ์žฅ ๊ดด๋ฆฌ" ํฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โ€” ALPHA ๋ฐฑํ…Œ์ŠคํŠธ์ƒ 4๊ฐœ+ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ ์ค‘๋ฅ  60.24%
๐Ÿค–5๊ฐœ AI ์—”์ง„ ๋…๋ฆฝ ๋ถ„์„ โ€” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค (๋ชจ๋‘ ํ•ฉ์˜ ์‹œ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ)
๐Ÿ† ์Šน๋ฌดํŒจ (ALPHA2)
๐ŸŽฏ D
54.1%
H 27.7% ยท D 54.1% ยท A 18.2%
๐Ÿ›ก ๋”๋ธ”์ฐฌ์Šค (DL AI)
๐Ÿ›ก 1X
81.8%
1X 81.8% ยท X2 72.3% ยท 12 45.9%
โšฝ ์–ธ๋”/์˜ค๋ฒ„ (OU AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐Ÿ“ ํ•ธ๋””์บก (HL AI)
์˜ˆ์ธก ์ž๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€์กฑ
์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€
๐ŸŽฏ ์–‘ํŒ€๋“์  (BTTS AI)
๐ŸŽฏ NO
53.6%
YES 46.4% ยท NO 53.6% ยท ๋ฐฐ๋‹น Y 2 / N 1.73
๐Ÿ“Š ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ
WhoScored
โ€”
WINDRAWWIN
โ€”
Prosoccer
โ€”
Forebet
โ€”
โญ Predictor
โ€”
AFC Asian Cup Qual. #16 Philippines vs Tajikistan 2:2
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 54%
โญ ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 82%
5/10
TRUST
2์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
3
์Šน์ 
-
Rating
(AFC Asian Cup Qual.)
VS
1์œ„
์ˆœ์œ„
3
์Šน์ 
-
Rating
(AFC Asian Cup Qual.)
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท ๊ตญ๋‚ด๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ๋ฐฐ๋‹น(๋ฐฐ๋‹น ๋ณ€๋™ 2ํšŒ)
ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ • ํ™ˆ ๋ฌด ์›์ •
ํ˜„์žฌ โ€” โ€” โ€” 2.45 2.90 2.80
์ดˆ๊ธฐ โ€” โ€” โ€” 2.63 3.00 2.55
๐ŸŒ ํ•ด์™ธ ํˆฌํ‘œ์œจํ™ˆ 60%๋ฌด 20%์›์ • 20%ํ‘œ๋ณธ 6,748
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 0.5 1.08 88% ์–ธ๋” 0.5 8 12%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 1.5 1.44 65% ์–ธ๋” 1.5 2.62 35%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 2.5 2.35 40% ์–ธ๋” 2.5 ๐ŸŽฏ ์ถ”์ฒœ 1.57 60%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 3.5 4.5 21% ์–ธ๋” 3.5 1.18 79%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 4.5 11 9% ์–ธ๋” 4.5 1.05 91%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 5.5 23 4% ์–ธ๋” 5.5 1.01 96%
์˜ค๋ฒ„ 6.5 51 2% ์–ธ๋” 6.5 1 98%
์ตœ๊ทผ ํผ ๋น„๊ต
Philippines ํ™ˆ ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
3
์Šน
2
๋ฌด
0
ํŒจ
60%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 100% ๋“ 12 / ์‹ค 5
Tajikistan ์›์ • ยท ์ตœ๊ทผ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
3
์Šน
2
๋ฌด
0
ํŒจ
60%
์Šน๋ฅ 
๋ฌดํŒจ์œจ 100% ๋“ 13 / ์‹ค 3
H Philippines
DWWWDWLWWD
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
D 03.31 AFC Asian Cup Qual. Tajikistan 1 : 1 Philippines
W 11.18 AFC Asian Cup Qual. Maldives 0 : 2 Philippines
W 10.14 AFC Asian Cup Qual. Philippines 3 : 1 East Timor
W 10.09 AFC Asian Cup Qual. East Timor 1 : 4 Philippines
D 06.10 AFC Asian Cup Qual. (2์œ„) Philippines 2 : 2 Tajikistan (1์œ„)
W 03.25 AFC Asian Cup Qual. Philippines 4 : 1 Maldives
L 12.30 ASEAN Championship, Final Rounds Thailand 3 : 1 Philippines
W 12.27 ASEAN Championship, Final Rounds Philippines 2 : 1 Thailand
W 12.21 ASEAN Championship, Group B Indonesia 0 : 1 Philippines
D 12.18 ASEAN Championship, Group B Philippines 1 : 1 Vietnam
A Tajikistan
DWWWDWLDWW
|
๋‚ ์งœ ๋ฆฌ๊ทธ ํ™ˆ ์Šค์ฝ”์–ด ์–ด์›จ์ด
D 03.31 AFC Asian Cup Qual. Tajikistan 1 : 1 Philippines
W 11.18 AFC Asian Cup Qual. East Timor 0 : 5 Tajikistan
W 10.14 AFC Asian Cup Qual. Maldives 0 : 3 Tajikistan
W 10.09 AFC Asian Cup Qual. Tajikistan 2 : 0 Maldives
D 09.05 CAFA Nations Cup, Group B Tajikistan 2 : 2 Iran
W 09.02 CAFA Nations Cup, Group B Afghanistan 0 : 2 Tajikistan
L 08.30 CAFA Nations Cup, Group B Tajikistan 1 : 2 India
D 06.10 AFC Asian Cup Qual. (2์œ„) Philippines 2 : 2 Tajikistan (1์œ„)
W 06.05 Int Friendly Cambodia 1 : 2 Tajikistan
W 03.25 AFC Asian Cup Qual. Tajikistan 1 : 0 East Timor
์ƒ๋Œ€์ „์  (H2H) โ€” ์ตœ๊ทผ 7๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
3
Philippines
43%
2
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€
29%
2
Tajikistan
29%
์ข…ํ•ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ
๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ ์ถ”์ฒœ โ€” ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ ๋ณดํ†ต+ (54%)
๋ณต์ˆ˜ ํ”ฝ: ํ™ˆ์Šน/๋ฌด (1X) 82%
์˜ค๋ฒ„/์–ธ๋”: -
๋ผ์ธ์—… & ํฌ๋ฉ”์ด์…˜
๋ผ์ธ์—…: ํ™•์ •
ํ™ˆ โ€” Philippines (4-3-3)
G Kevin Ray Mendoza
D Paul Bismarck Tabinas
D Jesper Nyholm
D Jefferson Tabinas
D Josef Baccay
M Sandro Reyes
M Manuel Ott
M Zico Bailey
F Randy Schneider
F Bjorn Martin Kristensen
F Gerrit Holtmann
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Nicholas Guimarรฃes โ†ฉ
G Quincy Kammeraad โ†ฉ
D Amani Aguinaldo โ†ฉ
D Adrian Ugelvik โ†ฉ
D John Lucero โ†ฉ
D Santiago Rublico โ†ฉ
D Scott Woods โ†ฉ
M Christian Rontini โ†ฉ
F Andrรฉ Leipold โ†ฉ
์›์ • โ€” Tajikistan (4-2-3-1)
G Rustam Yatimov
D Manuchekhr Safarov
D Vakhdat Khanonov
D Zoir Dzhuraboev
D Akhtam Nazarov
M Parvizdzhon Umarbaev
M Juraboev
M Amadoni Kamolov
M Ehsoni Panshanbe
M Shervoni Mabatshoev
F Shahrom Samiev
๊ต์ฒด ์„ ์ˆ˜
G Daler Barotov โ†ฉ
G Oleg Baklov โ†ฉ
D Mekhrubon Karimov โ†ฉ
D Tabrez Islomov โ†ฉ
M Fatkhullo Olimzoda โ†ฉ
M Nuriddin Khamrokulov โ†ฉ
M Sodikdzhon Kurbonov โ†ฉ
M Alidzhoniย Ayni โ†ฉ
M Shuhrat Elmurodov โ†ฉ
์œ ์‚ฌ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ
โšก
์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ 
๋น„์Šทํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ 6๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์ค‘ 5๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ(83%)๊ฐ€ ์—ญ๋ฐฐ(์›์ •ํŒ€ ์Šน)๋กœ ๋๋‚ฌ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฐฐ๋‹น์— ๊ทธ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋ฒ ํŒ…ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋ณด๋‹ค ์›์ •ํŒ€ / ํ•ธ๋””์บก๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜์„ธ์š”.
์ด 6๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ 1 (17%) ๐Ÿ” ๋ฌด์Šน๋ถ€ 0 (0%) โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ 5 (83%)
2025-06-10 | AFC Asian Cup Qual. ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.25 / 2.90 / 3.25
Hong Kong vs India 1:0
โœ“ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น๋Œ€๋กœ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 52%
2025-06-10 | AFC Asian Cup Qual. ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.90 / 3.00 / 2.35
East Timor vs Maldives 1:0
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 10%
2025-06-10 | AFC Asian Cup Qual. ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.88 / 3.10 / 2.35
Sri Lanka vs Chinese Taipei 3:1
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 14%
2025-06-10 | AFC Asian Cup Qual. ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 3.10 / 3.40 / 2.15
Laos vs Nepal 2:1
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ H2H 5%
2025-06-10 | AFC Asian Cup Qual. ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.25 / 3.25 / 2.90
Bangladesh vs Singapore 1:2
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 20%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 100%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 60%
2026-06-05 | AFC Asian Cup Qual. ์Šน/๋ฌด/ํŒจ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 2.05 / 2.55 / 4.10
Lebanon vs Yemen 0:2
โšก ์—ญ๋ฐฐ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์œ ์‚ฌ ๋žญํ‚น 60%์œ ์‚ฌ ํ๋ฆ„ 50%์œ ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋‹น 20%